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Can China embrace its history and Zhao Ziyang’s memoir?

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In Brief

As one whose task it was – together with some excellent colleagues – to report and try to make sense of events as they unfolded in China from 1988 to their tragic denouement on the night of 3-4 June 1989, Zhao’s account comes as very welcome confirmation that, basically, we got it right.

Against a background of growing popular concern over corruption and inflation, the broad outlines were clear enough: Zhao’s intensifying struggle with his more conservative opponents, the way his efforts to defuse an increasingly tense situation following the death of Hu Yaobang on 15 April were systematically sabotaged, the cutting off of Zhao’s direct access to Deng Xiaoping, the subsequent monopolisation of information going to Deng by ‘a small handful’ (to use the phraseology of the time) of Zhao’s enemies, Deng’s final loss of confidence in Zhao, Zhao’s loss of power, martial law, the massacre and its aftermath.

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What Zhao gives us, though, is the detail of the events as he himself lived them; and also the lacunae, things that others may have been aware of but he himself not. And this is itself a useful reminder that just because someone played a crucial role in major historical events, it doesn’t necessarily mean they knew everything that was going on. This applies both to the machinations taking place behind his back, but also to aspects of the situation as it developed in the streets.

What was not generally known at the time to outside observers was Zhao’s determination, mentioned several times in the book, that he not go down in history as the General Secretary who approved unleashing the PLA against the demonstrators.

In so doing he sealed his political fate, but also ensured his name would be added to the (all too long) list of upright officials who throughout Chinese history did the right thing – to their cost, but to their own, and China’s, ultimate credit.

The fascination of the book, though, goes much further than Zhao’s account of the June 4 events.

It will be mined in great detail by many for the insights it provides into the evolution of the economic reform program, the twists and turns of internal party struggles, the paramount role of Deng Xiaoping (but even his power was not unlimited), the serious differences within the reform camp over political reform (and in Zhao’s case, the way his thinking on this issue changed, and continued to do following his removal from power), Zhao’s insightful pen-portraits of his erstwhile colleagues, and his frank admissions of various policy mistakes (in particular the mishandling of the price reform of 1988).

Most of all, the book stands out as the sole account of how things worked – and in some, but not all ways, presumably still do – at the very top of the Chinese political system, by one who was there.

The difference now, regarding this latter point, is of course that there is no longer a Deng, or a Deng equivalent. Zhao tells us that at the time of the removal of Hu Yaobang, Chen Yun had expressed concern about how Hu’s resignation would be received, both domestically and internationally, and made sure the announcement explained that it was legal and in accord with proper procedures.

‘Deng himself’, says Zhao, ‘never took such matters seriously.’ Quite. None of the current leaders are cut from this cloth, nor have Deng’s power, deriving not from office but from who he was and what he’d done.

The book is in fact almost as much about Deng as it is about Zhao, and here the portrait is appropriately complex. While Zhao emerges very clearly as the man who was really responsible for the thinking through and execution of the reform and opening program, it would never have happened without Deng. Equally, without Deng other things that might have happened didn’t – most particularly really meaningful political reform.

Zhao makes it quite clear that for Deng political reform meant doing whatever it took to strengthen the position of the Communist Party as the sole ruling force in China. He was implacably opposed to anything that smacked of multi-party democracy or the separation of powers.

In this sense, the current leadership stands in a direct line of succession to Deng, as expressed most recently by the widely reported comments of Wu Bangguo; but it is good to be reminded that there have been, and are, other views within the Party itself. At the same time, Zhao demonstrates with equal clarity the support given him by Deng at various crucial junctures against the conservative forces that sought to turn the clock back on reform and opening.

Commenting on the June 4 events, Deng said, famously, ‘this storm was bound to happen’. Zhao shows that this was not necessarily the case – or at least that there was nothing inevitable about the way in which it was handled. Had he had his way, it was perfectly possible that the situation could have been resolved peacefully (as was quite obvious to almost anybody there at the time, other than to those who had an interest in what actually happened).

Going further back, had Hu Yaobang not been forced from power in 1987, Zhao believes the subsequent political trajectory would have been quite different (although, intriguingly, Zhao reveals that one of the accusations against Hu was that he had been too enthusiastic in his support of Kim Il Sung!).

A few days ago, responding to a foreign journalist’s question about a possible reappraisal of June 4, the Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman said that this and all related issues had been settled years ago. I have too high an opinion of the MFA to believe that the spokesman believed this to be true, or that his hearers would believe it either.

Sooner or later – and later is still more likely than sooner – the issue will be reappraised. When it is, Zhao’s memoirs will play an important role in re-assessing this vital episode in the history of modern China. In the meantime, thanks to access to modern means of communication – an important aspect of the reform and opening program for which Deng, Zhao, Hu and their successors can all claim credit –whatever measures are taken to impede them, thousands of people across China will find ways of reading this fascinating and important book.

Richard Rigby is head of the China Institute at the ANU and was formerly an Australian diplomat and analyst specialising on Chinese and Asian affairs. He was based in China during the 1980s.

2 responses to “Can China embrace its history and Zhao Ziyang’s memoir?”

  1. Zhao Ziyang’s book will be a valuable aid in assisting historians as well as for many others to fully understand what really happened back then in China and what lessons can be learnt from that particular event in China’s long history, including its current modernistic reforming era, although it is very likely to remain a taboo in mainland China for some time to come. I suppose that it is paradoxical for many Chinese – they may be curious to want to know what the book has to say, yet they might also be resigned to the thinking that the time may yet opportune for the book to be allowed released in the mainland. I may be wrong, but I am eagerly waiting to see what will happen in the mainland in the wake of the book’s release outside China and the potential availability from the web.

    History needs to be told. But as many things, there may be a matter of the best timing. In China, stability and development have been the top priorities, it seems. People in the West talk about human rights. The Chinese also talk about human rights, with different emphasis. It is like different government in Australia or the US for that matter may talk about what is the best policy for the society, some may say we should tax the rich even more to make the society fairer, while others may say we should provide incentives for private entrepreneurs and indeed everyone to enhance efficiency and productivity. There may be differences in the value system. There are differences even in one nation. It is no wonder there are more international differences. But who can be the judge of who is right and who is wrong on such matter as to value system?

    I am a Chinese Australian. While I have said I am interested in reading the book and in knowing what will happen in mainland China, I am more interested in Australian government budget deficits and ballooning government debts, the strategies the government spins out to turn the deficit into surplus in 2015-16. The respected Treasury appears to have got its forecast of economic growth for the next few years in Australia badly wrong with many economists and commentators saying they are too optimistic. My critique of the Treasury forecast has been that they just either conveniently ignored the Lucas critique, or most of the Treasury officials may be too young that they don’t know that critique, because it is more than 30 years old. The worst thing was that the Treasury changed its traditional forecast methodology for budget that is another reason people are suspicious of its forecast.

    To just illustrate the relevance of the Aussie budget to Zhao’s book, the Aussie government in this budget introduced means testing to private health insurance rebate, contrary to or broke the Labor’s and Rudd’s election promise. Their excuse has been that the rich should contribute more in the current recession since they have the capacities to do so. Besides, they increased the age pension by $30.49 a week that translates to a rise of more than 10%, in the middle of the great recession and what Rudd/Swan have been saying a tough budget. Some background information to that is that Rudd may have promised age pensioners during the still good time before the recession set in a rise in pension. The two measures prove that it is the Labor in government now – a traditionally high spending and high deficit party. But don’t you worry, the Liberals will probably fix Labor’s deficit with a more flat tax structure sometime in the future. Different values in one society, that is!

  2. This book will probably reshape the legacy of Zhao Ziyang. He did some good work for farmers earlier at country side, I don’t think he can claim to be the real “architect” behind China’s reform and open-up movement. It’s common for a loser to try to take much credit on good things and blame bad things onto others.

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