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An Asia Pacific Community: an idea whose time is coming

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In Brief

Why did Kevin Rudd put the proposal for an Asia Pacific Community forward in the first place, on behalf of Australia?

What is Rudd’s actual proposal, given that although the broad objective is clear, he is still developing his ideas on the detail of the arrangements he would want to pursue?

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What was my role as his Special Envoy, and what were the outcomes of my consultations?

What are the next steps to advance the idea of an Asia Pacific community?

This essay addresses these four questions.

On 4 June last year Prime Minister Rudd put forward his proposal. It can be seen as a response to major global economic and geo-strategic changes, just as in 1989 former Prime Minister Bob Hawke put forward the idea of an Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation forum (APEC) in response to a situation in which he feared the world could be moving towards three major trading blocs – a Dollar bloc, a Yen bloc and a Deutschmark bloc, from which countries like Australia might find themselves excluded.

Twenty years later Rudd came to the view that Australia and other countries of the region needed to respond to a seismic shift in economic influence taking place, from the Atlantic to the Pacific, or from the United States and Europe to Asia, driven mainly by the spectacular economic growth of China and the substantial growth of India, in addition to the established strengths of the Japanese and South Korean economies and the potential for growth of countries like Indonesia and Vietnam. Such an increase in economic influence will be accompanied by the growth of political and security influence, especially on the part of China and India, as well as, potentially, Indonesia.

This major shift in economic, political and security influence will produce new challenges over the next few decades, such as possible competition for scarce resources, not only for oil and gas but also for water and food. There are also a number of important transnational issues such as nuclear proliferation, unresolved territorial claims, climate change, the illegal movement of people, and action to combat terrorism which require multilateral as well as bilateral and trilateral approaches.

As Rudd said in Singapore on 29 May, the countries of the Asia Pacific region have a choice. That choice is really to seek actively to shape now the future of our wider region by finding and establishing the most appropriate consultative arrangements we are going to need; or to wait passively to see what evolves. Rudd believes that it is important to act now to refine regional arrangements in ways which will reinforce and advance a more stable, cooperative and peaceful Asia Pacific region as this 21st century unfolds. Is it not wiser to anticipate likely issues and prepare for them in advance, rather than simply respond to developments as they occur? ‘I do not believe we can afford to sit idly by while the region simply evolves – without any sense of strategic purpose.’

What he has in mind is not an EU type of institution or the creation of some supra-national bureaucracy.

There are three other reasons why it is appropriate for Australia to launch such an initiative.

Firstly, Australia is part of the Southeast Asian and Southwest Pacific region.

Secondly, Australia is committed to ‘active middle power diplomacy’. We already have a sound and established record in acting to promote regional cooperation, the main examples being the creation of APEC in 1989, our role in the Cambodian peace process and our efforts which were instrumental in the lead up to the establishment of the ASEAN Regional Forum.

Thirdly, it is better for a middlesized country like Australia or, say, Malaysia to put forward new ideas for the region than for a major power like the United States, China or Japan to do so. If a major power does so, smaller countries may suspect there might be some hidden or self-serving agenda.

The objective is to see a meeting at heads-of-government (HOG) level of the six major regional countries – United States, China, Japan, India, Russia and Indonesia – and other countries in the Asia Pacific region to discuss in a congenial atmosphere how best to handle the challenges which our region is likely to face.

There are already a range of institutions in the Asia Pacific region dealing with various issues. The main ones are ASEAN, APEC, ASEAN+3 (the 3 being China, Japan and South Korea), the East Asia Summit (EAS, which includes Australia, New Zealand and India), the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) and the Shanghai Dialogue.

So why should we be suggesting additional arrangements?

The problem is that none of the existing institutions has the mandate, the membership or the ability to deal comprehensively with all of the economic, political and security issues that Kevin Rudd has in mind. For example, APEC does not include India and its mandate is primarily economic. The EAS does not include the United States and Russia. While the ARF does include all of the principal countries, it is widely seen as being too large, with 27 countries; it does not meet at HOG level; and when a serious regional issue arose, such as North Korea’s nuclear capability, it was handled by a new arrangement, the Six Party Talks, although all six countries were members of the ARF. So there is a clear need for more effective arrangements in the future, especially to deal with political and security issues.

My role as Special Envoy was essentially consultative. Prime Minister Rudd did not want to be prescriptive. Indeed, had he put a firm plan on the table without extensive prior consultation it would have naturally attracted criticism in the region and in Australia itself. Thinking needed to be refined with the benefit of the ideas of regional partners. So, he asked me to consult at a high level with all of the 10 ASEAN countries, with the exception of Burma, and all of the APEC and EAS countries, with the exception of Hong Kong and Taiwan, which, while members of APEC, are not sovereign states. This meant I needed to visit 21 countries. In fact I made 22 visits, because I visited New Zealand first under the Clark government but returned in January after the Key government had been elected.

This extensive consultative mission bought me into personal contact with one monarch, the Sultan of Brunei, two presidents, five prime ministers, and some 33 ministers of foreign affairs and/or trade, as well as a large number of deputy or assistant foreign ministers. In addition I met with a large number of senior officials, academics and those involved in regional think tanks. In all, I discussed Mr Rudd’s proposal with some 300 people.

During this process I submitted, at the Prime Minister’s request, an interim report before he attended the APEC Summit meeting in Lima last November, and a final report in March after I had concluded my last visits, which were to Canada and the United States. Naturally, it was necessary to wait until after the Obama administration had been inaugurated before discussing the concept in the United States.

As Rudd has said, a major aspect of his initiative was ‘to begin the conversation about where we need to go’ to strengthen cooperation in the Asia Pacific region.

What should the next steps be? Kevin Rudd intends to maintain the momentum on the initiative.

In his speech in Singapore he acknowledged that I had reported there was little appetite for the establishment of a new institution. Nor did he want to see the pressures on regional leaders and senior ministers to attend meetings unnecessarily increased.

Rudd said the idea is an important one which needs proper consideration. He said he would brief leaders at the EAS Summit, now scheduled for October 23-25, and also at the next APEC Summit to be held in Singapore on 20 November. He has also written to all 21 heads of government in the 21 countries I visited, indicating that he looks forward to discussing ideas for an Asia Pacific Community with them, including how we might develop our institutions to meet more effectively the challenges we all expect as the 21st Century unfolds. In addition, Rudd announced in Singapore on 29 May that Australia would convene a ‘one-and-a-half track conference’ of prominent government officials, academics and opinion-makers to continue the discussion of the form an Asia Pacific Community should take. This conference is planned to take place in December after the APEC Summit, or early in 2010.

The case for modernising global institutions so that they can respond more effectively to this century’s challenges is strong. The greatest gap in the present global systems is the absence of a driving centre, which reflects the changing balances of global economic, political and security influence. This challenge also applies to regional institutions, including in the Asia Pacific. The G20 is seeking to fill this gap in respect of a coordinated approach to the global economic crisis.

I am encouraged by the level of interest and by the mostly positive reactions, especially at senior government levels, which I have encountered. In coming to this judgment I make allowance for what is often called ‘traditional Asian politeness’ and for the fact that I know personally many of my interlocutors.

I believe the initiative is continuing to gather momentum. In 1989, I thought APEC was an idea whose time had come. Twenty years on – in 2009 – I believe that another Australian regional initiative — that is, the development of an Asia Pacific Community, based on fostering habits of cooperation — is an idea whose time is coming.

Ambassador Richard Woolcott is Prime Minister Kevin Rudd’s special envoy to develop an Asia Pacific Community concept. He was secretary of the Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade from 1988 to 1992.

One response to “An Asia Pacific Community: an idea whose time is coming”

  1. This is a really helpful update. But I’d like to explore the remark that what PM Kevin Rudd “has in mind is not an EU type of institution or the creation of some supra-national bureaucracy”.

    Imagine an international regime with these institutional features:

    1. Virtually free trade in goods and services, including a “mutual recognition” system whereby compliance with regulatory requirements in one jurisdiction (eg qualifications to practice law or requirements to offering securities to the public) basically means exemption from compliance with regulations in the other jurisdiction. And for sensitive areas, such as food safety, there is a trans-national regulator.

    2. Virtually free movement of capital, underpinned by private sector and governmental initiatives.

    3. Permanent residence available to nationals from the other jurisdiction (and strong pressure to maintain flexible rules about multiple nationality).

    4. Treaties for regulatory cooperation, simple enforcement of judgments (a court ruling in one jurisdiction is treated virtually identically to a ruling of a local court), and to avoid double taxation (including a system for taxpayer-initiated arbitration among the member states).

    5. Government commitment to harmonising business law more widely, eg now for consumer and competition law.

    No, the answer is not the obvious one: this is NOT the EU.

    Instead I am referring to the Trans-Tasman framework built up between Australia and New Zealand, particularly over the last decade. Sometimes this has been achieved through treaties (binding in international law, and more difficult therefore to change), but sometimes in softer ways (eg parallel legislation in each country and a looser inter-governmental “arrangement”).

    And since both countries are so actively pursuing bilateral and now some regional FTAs, especially in the Asia-Pacific region, can’t these Trans-Tasman initiatives become a more palatable template for a broader “Asia Pacific Community”?

    I think this is also “an idea whose time is coming”, although (for now) Australasians still tend to bristle at any overt mention of the EU itself as an inspiration for our region. We should be looking at all sorts of specific innovations that have proved successful in Europe, with variants already emerging particularly in the Trans-Tasman context, and ask ourselves how these might be generalisable – sometimes even in the short term.

    Since July 2008 (also published in the Australian Financial Review) I have written about many possibilities on this blog, as well as my overlapping “Japanese Law and the Asia Pacific” blog at http://blogs.usyd.edu.au/japaneselaw/. There you can find a paper for an international trade law conference in Wellington this week that tries to bring together many of these (EU / Trans-Tasman) institutional features.

    Looking forward, one proposal is for a databas linking the Asia-Pacific with the RAPEX database in the EU, whereby national regulators share information about accidents and serious risks related to general consumer goods. In Europe this is underpinned by a Directive requiring suppliers in the 27 member states to disclose such risks, but already similar legislation has been introduced in the US (1990), Japan (2006), China (2007) and Canada (currently before parliament) – and hopefully soon Australia and NZ (as part of a much bigger consumer law reform package underway). This creates a dynamic “race to the top” anyway, but we could encourage further regulatory cooperation through bilateral and regional FTAs in the Asia-Pacific, And already we should establish an information clearing house for the Asia-Pacific, and link that to the EU’s existing RAPEX system (which is already now connected to China and the US through bilateral cooperation agreements).

    For many other possibilities, loosely inspired by the EU’s 50-year experience in slowly bringing together increasingly diverse 27 members states in a variety of ways, please see my blog and paper at http://blogs.usyd.edu.au/japaneselaw/. If it still seems like an “undiplomatic activity” to raise this analogy directly in current negotiations towards an Asia Pacific Community, perhaps it will be more palatable to point to the softer but increasingly compehensive innovations in the Trans-Tasman context.

    Luke Nottage

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