Is a Sino-Indian war really possible?

Chinese Prime Minister Wen Jiabao waves after shaking hands with India Prime Minister Manmohan Singh prior to a meeting in New Delhi. Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao's visit to India was as a friend not a rival, but a border dispute remains a source of tension and potential conflict between the Asian giants still exists. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Vikas Kumar, Bangalore

Both the Chinese and Indian media suffer from hysteria over an impending Sino-Indian War and occasionally indulge in competitive jingoism.

The hysteria usually begins with some obscure news item or opinion piece published in one country regarding the offensive preparations from the other side of the Himalayas and quickly escalates to a ‘we-will-give-a-fitting-reply’ kind of exchange. Read more…

The G20 and the BRICS: How to manage the politics?

French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde, left, and France central bank governor Christian Noyer answer questions at a press conference at the end of the G20 financial seminar on the International Monetary System in Nanjing, eastern China's Jiangsu province, Thursday, March 31, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Maria Monica Wihardja, CSIS, Indonesia

This year’s BRIC Summit, to be held in mid-April in China, will mark the entry of South Africa into membership of the group.

The economies of BRICS (now with the addition of ‘S’ for South Africa) will also prepare for the G20 Summit to be held later this year. BRICS, for which the combined economy is predicted to overtake the US by 2018, is not only an emerging economic power but also an increasingly influential political power; and China, acting as a global regime maker instead of a regime taker, is leading the way. Read more…

Indian Ocean dynamics: An Indian perspective

Russian warship Marshal Shaposhnikov (R) passes by the Indian warship INS Mysore during joint exercises in the Indian Ocean. (Photo: AAP)

Author: P K Ghosh, ORF

The Indian Ocean is a very ‘active’ ocean, perceived by many as the emerging centre of gravity in the strategic world.

Thus, the words attributed to  the maritime strategist Alfred Mahan ring true: ‘Whoever controls the Indian Ocean will dominate Asia, the destiny of the world will be decided on its waters.’ Read more…

Japan’s agricultural politics, the DPJ and the prospect of trade reform

Japanese elderly farmers work in their cabbage fields in Kimobetsu town, Hokkaido province, northern Japan. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Aurelia George Mulgan, UNSW@ADFA

The DPJ is not the party of structural reform in the agricultural sector. It designed its agricultural policies to win farmers’ votes, including small-scale farmers who are in the majority.

Its policy of direct income subsidies provides incentives for small-scale farmers to stay in business. The policy was inserted into the party’s 2003, 2005, 2007 and 2009 manifestoes, and over time it became more expansive and generous in scope and even less reform-oriented than the LDP-Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (MAFF) scheme which left out small farmers. Read more…

Beyond the devastation in Japan

A man rides through the aftermath of the Tsunami, Earthquake and Nuclear Crisis. The country faces a massive challenge to rebuild its infrastructure. Will its Asia Pacific neighbours help out? (Photo: AAP)

Author: Peter Drysdale

The horror and devastation of the earthquake, tsunami and nuclear disaster in Japan continue to stun people all over the world — nowhere more so than in Japan itself, of course, where continuing anxiety is mixed with the numbness that such tragedies suffuse over the human psychology.

This is an awful period for the nation, picking itself up after being partially flattened. It is a period of helpless acceptance of loss. It is a period of struggling to find reasons where there are none. Read more…

How best to pay for Japan’s reconstruction

A family searches for their belongings in an area devastated by the March 11 tsunami in Otsuchi, Iwate Prefecture, northern Japan, Sunday, April 3, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Authors: Sisira Jayasuriya and Nobu Yamashita, Latrobe University

The scale of the humanitarian and economic cost of the Japanese Tohoku-Pacific Coast disaster is yet to be fully assessed due to ongoing uncertainties about the Fukushima nuclear reactor. Yet it is quite clear that this is a greater catastrophe than the 1995 Kobe earthquake. In terms of the magnitude of death and destruction, as Prime Minister Naoto Kan described it, this is the biggest disaster that Japan has experienced since the end of the Second World War.

The challenge of recovery goes well beyond the physical reconstruction and replacement of destroyed infrastructure and capital assets. Nothing can compensate for the human and social costs of deaths, injuries, dispossession and the psychological trauma of the disaster. Read more…

Japan’s crisis and Australia

French President Nicolas Sarkozy gestures before boarding a car upon arrival at Haneda International Airport in Tokyo. Sarkozy arrived here to offer support to the country after its earthquake, tsunami and nuclear reactor crisis. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Jenny Corbett, ANU

French President Sarkozy is the first foreign leader to visit Japan since the disasters of early March. His visit has been welcomed in Japan and has partly restored the unfortunate impression that the French jumped ship early by evacuating all their nationals.  Well-timed, symbolic gestures of support can have great impact. Would this be a good moment for a high-level gesture of goodwill, respect and support from Australia?  Absolutely. But a mere repetition of the mantra that Japan is our most strategically important ally in the region would be a wasted opportunity. These circumstances provide an important moment to take the bilateral relationship one big step towards new levels on many fronts.

On the humanitarian front Australia can offer assistance beyond aid and rescue teams. Read more…

Asian cities as low carbon catalysts

A man holds his child who wears a mask while walking on a pedestrian overpass in the haze in Beijing Wednesday, Dec. 1, 2010. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Benjamin Fox, Tunghai University

As the effects of climate change in Asia become more obvious every year, carbon emission reduction policy in the region remains largely inadequate.

During the signing of the Kyoto Protocol in 1997, most of Asia’s largest greenhouse gas (GHG) emitting nations were considered developing countries and therefore not held to internationally binding agreements to reduce emissions. Read more…

A Shanghai consensus?

Chinese soldiers prepare to move out to take part in a military exercise in Hefei, east China's Anhui province on March 28, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Conrad Guimaraes, APYO

Whether it is exemplified by the US$45 billion World Expo last year, or its possession of the world’s largest (by tonnage) port, Shanghai is an outstanding symbol of Chinese growth.

Now an economic hub of the East, Shanghai’s qualities do seem to be a microcosm of China itself. Could the understanding gained through the city’s recent prosperity be extrapolated on to form the basis of something to the effect of a ‘Shanghai Consensus?’ Read more…

India-New Zealand PTA: Broaden it for balanced gains

Meat grader Jason Groube stamps mutton for export at an Auckland meat processing plant, 02 March 2001. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Mukul G. Asher, NUS, and Rahul Sen, AUT

As part of a broader objective of deeper economic integration with Asia, New Zealand embarked last year on negotiating a preferential trade agreement (PTA) with India, one of the rapidly growing emerging markets in Asia.

Three rounds of negotiations have now been completed, with the fourth round of negotiations scheduled in New Delhi this month. Read more…

South Africa joins BRIC with China’s support

A child sits beneath a poster of South African President Jacob Zuma. Will the country represent the interests of the continent on the world scale? (Photo: AAP)

Author: Sanusha Naidu, Human Sciences Research Council

This year has certainly started off on a high note for South Africa’s foreign policy ambitions. Assuming its two-year non-permanent rotational seat on the United Nations Security Council and becoming the fifth member of BRIC, it is clear that the charm offensive of President Zuma’s 2010 BRIC foreign policy diplomacy has paid off.

Of course for some analysts, like Goldman Sachs economist Jim O’Neill, South Africa was not seen as a suitable candidate. O’Neill is recorded as saying: ‘It is not entirely obvious to me why the BRIC should have agreed to ask South Africa to join. Read more…