US grand strategy: confronting debt and power

A view of a sign displaying the estimated national debt of the United States near Times Square, New York USA 18 May 2011. The US reached the official debt limit of 14.3 billion dollars, triggering a two-month-plus period of tapping other resources until politicians negotiate a solution. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Matt Hill, ANU

US government finances are in a sorry state. As the federal debt threatens to break the ceiling of US$14.3 trillion authorised by Congress, an extension of Washington’s self-imposed credit limit is required by 2 August.

That this extension will be authorised is certain; as US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner has admitted, only a temporary delay can be afforded before the world’s largest economy faces the unimaginable possibility of defaulting to its creditors. Yet while a temporary reprieve, this fiscal expedient will not banish the implications of America’s increased indebtedness. Read more…

The removal of Muhammad Yunus from Grameen Bank

Microfinance pioneer Muhammad Yunus emerges from the high court building to contest the decision to remove him from his post in Grameen Bank. (Photo: AAP)

Author: John D. Conroy, ANU and FDC

The removal of Muhammad Yunus as Managing Director of Grameen Bank now seems irrevocable.

The Bangladesh Finance Ministry is reported to have prepared a ‘14 point plan’ that will ‘transform the Nobel winning micro-lender into another state-owned bank’, with the government likely looking to increase its equity stake in Grameen (currently less than 4 per cent of paid capital) to restructure the board and ‘establish control over its lucrative sister firms’. Read more…

Asia’s middle class on the rise

India has transformed itself in 60 years of its independence from a controlled economy to a nation with a vibrant, open market and one of the fastest growing economies in the world. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Peter Drysdale, Editor, EAF

The success of Asia’s economic growth has seen three quarters of a billion people emerge from poverty in the space of just a few decades.

It has also already witnessed the emergence of a very sizeable middle class. Read more…

Can the Asian middle class come of age?

Visitors to the 2011 Top Wine China exhibition attend a tasting seminar on Spanish wines in Beijing, China 25 May 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Homi Kharas, Brookings Institution

The Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development has just celebrated its 50th anniversary. Among the many achievements of this group of advanced economies is the unprecedented improvement in the material lives of millions of their citizens.

Between 1960 and 2010, the number of people who had middle class or better living standards in OECD member countries more than doubled from around 400 million to over 900 million. Poverty, by global standards, was essentially eradicated. Read more…

Blow-out in inter-Korean relations

North-South Military Talks

Author: Scott A. Snyder, CFR

North Korea’s National Defense Commission recently released a rare public statement on inter-Korean relations in response to Lee Myung-Bak’s 9 May Berlin speech inviting Kim Jong Il to attend next year’s Nuclear Security Summit.

The statement came only days after Kim Jong Il’s return from last week’s visit to China where he met with PRC President Hu Jintao, and it responds to the 19 May revelation by South Korea’s Blue House spokesperson that secret contact had been made with North Korean counterparts in advance of Lee’s Berlin invitation. Read more…

Independent regulators in Indonesia: the competition experience

A street vendor walks past a wall decorated with graffiti showing a support to the anti-corruption drive in Jakarta. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Nisa Istiani, PhD candidate

In 2010, Indonesia’s volume of public procurement for goods, civil works and consulting services was around US$36 billion.

According to the State Audit Body (Badan Pemeriksa Keuangan or BPK) around US$8 billion was lost to bad practice including price mark ups, fictitious tenders and collusive behaviour between parties in the bidding process. Read more…

The defeat of the Left Front in West Bengal, India

Trinamul Congress (TMC) supporters release doves as they celebrate Mamata Banerjee taking the oath of office as Chief Minister of West Bengal, in Siliguri on May 20, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Kuntala Lahiri-Dutt, ANU

On 12 May, Mamata Banerjee, the leader of Trina Mool Congress (TMC) succeeded in a landslide election victory, overthrowing the Left Front that came to power in West Bengal in 1977.

In the process of overthrowing the Communists, Mamata has redefined contemporary Bengali ethnic identity, loosening the grip of the urban-based, bhadralok intellectual middle class ideologues on the State’s politics. Read more…

Tibet’s new Prime Minister faces challenges ahead

Newly elected head of the Tibetan government-in-exile Lobsang Sangay. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Fiona McConnell, University of Cambridge

When Tibet makes the headlines it is usually for one of three issues: Chinese government crackdowns; ‘Free Tibet’ protests in the West; or the Dalai Lama’s meetings with world leaders.

A different story has engaged the international community in recent weeks: the election of a new Kalon Tripa, or Prime Minister, of the Tibetan Government in Exile. Read more…

Rising cost of living in Thailand and political implications

An old man and young girl (L) beg for money from passing workers and school children on the streets of the business district in Bangkok, Thailand, 03 June 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Authors: Pisit Leeahtam & Cynn Treesraptanagul, Chiang Mai University

Like many other countries, food and commodity price hikes challenge the current Thai government’s stability, especially in the wake of political turmoil in the Middle East and massive natural disasters throughout many regions of the world.

Amid this, a big question on how effectively the Thai government can cope with the deteriorating situation remains. Read more…

A Korea-Japan alliance?

Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan (L) and South Korean President Lee Myung Bak (R) shake hands prior to their bilateral talks at the Akasaka State Guesthouse in Tokyo, Japan, on 22 May 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Peter M. Beck, CFR, Keio University

Korea-Japan relations have warmed considerably since President Lee Myung-bak took office, but new agreements have proven elusive.

After raising the idea with hundreds of Japanese, ranging from Diet members to Okinawa pineapple farmers, I have concluded that there is no time to waste for President Lee and Prime Minister Kan Naoto to pursue a formal alliance. Read more…

Japan’s lame duck prime minister

Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan, center, walks past the rubble in front of municipal building Saturday, April 2, 2011 in Rikuzentakata, Iwate Prefecture, northern Japan. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Purnendra Jain, University of Adelaide

On 8 June, Prime Minister Naoto Kan completes his first year in office, an extraordinary achievement in contemporary Japanese politics.

His four predecessors all resigned after less than a year in office — Shinzo Abe, Yasuo Fukuda and Taro Aso of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP), and Yukio Hatoyama despite leading the Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ) to an overwhelming electoral victory in 2009 after more than half a century of virtually solid LDP rule. Read more…

Myanmar’s new ‘civilian’ government

Myanmar President Thein Sein (L) walks by a guard of honor during a welcoming ceremony hosted by Chinese President Hu Jintao (not pictured) at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China, 27 May 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Kyaw San Wai, RSIS

One month into office, President Thein Sein’s fledgling government has sent mixed signals on reform.

There are many uncertainties over the ability of the reformed Parliament to tackle social problems and ethnic divisions domestically, and over how the ‘new face’ of the regime will integrate into the region and be received by international players.

Read more…