China and Australia: toward cooperative aid delivery

Foreign Minister Kevin Rudd (left) discussing the post-flood medical crisis with the Pakistan Military General Officer Commanding Multan, Major General Nadir Zaib (centre), and AusAID Team Leader, Mr Thanh Le (right).

Author: Sam Byfield, Vision 2020 Australia

One of the notable recommendations of the Australian government’s Independent Review of Aid Effectiveness released in July was that Australia’s aid to China should be phased out.

The report and the Australian government’s response did not specify the time period likely to be involved, but the report made it clear that as China’s economic development continues, and its own aid program grows, Australia should focus its aid elsewhere. Read more…

Implications of tax treaty arbitration for an Asia Pacific community

New Zealand Prime Minister John Key, left, with Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard at the Official Opening of the Pacific Forum, Auckland, New Zealand, Wednesday, Sept. 7, 2011. New Zealand is the only country with which Australia has an arbitration provision contained in a tax treaty. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Micah Burch, University of Sydney

Much was made (in tax treaty circles, at least) three years ago when the OECD included in its model tax treaty a provision requiring arbitration.

The controversial provision (Article 25(5) of the OECD Model Tax Convention on Income and on Capital (2003)) requires states to arbitrate tax disputes arising under the treaty if they remain unresolved after two years of negotiation between the competent authorities. While arbitration is a generally accepted facet of international commercial dispute resolution worldwide, dispute resolution under bilateral tax treaties is relatively undeveloped. Read more…

Malaysia’s fiscal policy and the looming financial crisis

Shoppers make their way out through the narrow lanes of a makeshift food market in downtown Kuala Lumpur on July 22, 2010. Official data showed the Malaysian consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.7% in June compared to a year ago, led by higher food prices. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Shankaran Nambiar, Manipal International University, Malaysia

As the US loses its AAA rating, and Japan takes a slide to AA-, can the Malaysian economy hold its candle in the global storm that is brewing?

In what is an already gloomy environment, there is no doubt that the weather ahead is likely to turn grey, and Malaysia’s credit rating slipping from A+ to A in early September 2011 is proving an ominous sign. Read more…

Russia-North Korea trade

Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and North Korean leader Kim Jong-il meet at Sosnovy Bor military garrison in Zaigrayevsky district outside Ulan-Ude in Buryatia, eastern Siberia, Russia on 24 August 2011 to discuss prospects for the implementation of tripartite economic projects involving Russia, North Korea, and South Korea. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Andrei Lankov, Kookmin University and ANU

In mid-August, the armoured train of the ‘Dear Leader’, Marshall Kim Jong-il once again crossed the Russian border. This time, he did not venture far: the summit with Russian President Dmitry Medvedev took place in the city of Ulan-Ude.

Among other things, the summit produced a statement about a gas pipeline which is to go through the North to reach the South. Read more…

China’s development since WTO accession

China Commerce minister Chen Deming addresses the assembly between Chairman of Goldman Sachs International, Peter Sutherland and WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy during a session at the World Economic Forum annual meeting on 27 January, 2011.

Author: Wang Yong, Peking University

Prior to joining the World Trade Organization (WTO), the common perception in China was that the WTO belonged to ‘the Club of the Rich’, where wealthy countries imposed rules on poor and weak developing ones.

Now, the WTO is one of the most widely recognised and respected international organisations within China. Read more…

China’s export restrictions on rare earths

A man driving a front loader shifts soil containing rare earth minerals to be loaded at a port for export to Japan in Lianyungang in Jiangsu province, East China on 5 September 2010. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Nabeel A Mancheri, NIAS

China is the world’s largest depositor, producer, consumer and exporter of rare earths, controlling 97 per cent of the global supplies.

But with China’s export restrictions, the gap between demand and supply is growing because of the dearth of any other major supplying nation. Read more…

US arms sales to Taiwan: impact on Sino-American relations

An air-to-air missile is fired from a Mirage 2000-5 jet of the Taiwan Air Force during a drill held at the Chiupeng military base in southern Taiwan on 18 January 2011. Taiwan showed its force during a live-fire missile exercise, highlighting the perceived military threat from China despite fast warming between the two former acrimonious rivals. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Carlyle A Thayer, UNSW Canberra

The Obama Administration’s decision to sell Taiwan an arms package worth $5.85 billion is a carefully calibrated decision designed to meet US legal obligations under the Taiwan Relations Act of 1979.

It is also a decision that carefully calibrates the impact on Sino–American relations at a time of improved relations not only between Washington and Beijing but between Beijing and Taipei. Read more…

North Korea and Northeast Asian security

North Korean Premier Choe Yong-rim (R) is accompanied by Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao at a welcoming ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China 26 September 2011. Choe's visit comes at a time when China is trying to revive the six party talks on nuclear issues on the Korean peninsula and to bolster economic development in the isolated neighbouring state. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Gilbert Rozman, Princeton University

In much of the world the Six-Party Talks represent a futile attempt to rein in North Korea’s nuclear weapons program and deter it from a path of belligerence.

But in China the talks offer hope for a new regional security arrangement. While observers took keen interest in China’s resistance to condemn the North’s two attacks on South Korea in 2010, few paid attention to Chinese rhetoric on the Korean peninsula, apart from expressing surprise at Xi Jinping’s revival of Chinese support for the North in the ‘glorious’ Korean War. Read more…

Australia’s confidence funk: a guide for the perplexed

Prime Minister Julia Gillard chairs (centre) the meeting of the Resources Advisory Council in Canberra,Thursday, 15 Sept, 2011. The meeting was attended by mining company executives and union leaders. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Huw McKay, Westpac and ANU

The Australian economy presents a conundrum for both policymakers and outside observers.

Despite a spectacular effort in evading the worst of the 2008/09 downturn and an impressive recovery trajectory in the labour market through 2010, a striking undercurrent of pessimism has emerged. Read more…

Re-positioning the G20′s agenda on development

IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde, Minister of Finance of Bahrain Ahmed bin Mohammed Al Khalifa, IMF First Deputy Managing Director Richard Mills and World Bank Group President Robert Zoellick take part in a closing news conference of the IMF/ World Bank Annual Meetings at IMF headquarters in Washington Saturday, Sept. 24, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Peter Drysdale, Editor, East Asia Forum

Europe’s woes and another week of volatility in world financial markets saw confidence in global recovery tumble.

The IMF meetings in Washington and the political follow up that is now playing out across Europe have done something to staunch the financial bleeding, but the global economy is still in emergency triage.

Read more…

How can Asia help fix the global economy?

In this photo taken on Dec. 6, 2010, construction work continues along the Grand Canal, a trade route built 2,500 years ago to bring grain from the Chinese South to its rulers in the north, in Yangzhou, China. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Andrew Elek, ANU

The global economy has another serious bout of the jitters around the deep problems in Europe and uncertain recovery in the United States.

The IMF meetings in Washington may have temporarily allayed the effects of the collapse in global confidence but there remain big challenges for the G20 in developing a response to the threat of the world’s slipping back into recession.

Read more…

Japan’s rising yen and the decline of the US dollar

A money dealer covers his face with his hands at a Tokyo foreign exchange market on October 25, 2010. The US dollar hit a fresh 15-year low against Japanese yen in Tokyo trading as the greenback resumed its slide, amid continued expectations of more easing measures in the US. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Masaya Sakuragawa, Keio University

Japan is a large country driven by export-orientated economic growth, but, surprisingly, the yen is not used broadly in trade invoicing among Japanese exporters.

Given most of Japanese trade is invoiced in US dollars, the recent appreciation of the yen to above 80 yen per dollar is a serious problem for the Japanese economy, and threatens exports and GDP growth. Read more…

LNG to double PNG income, now for good governance

Canadian oil company InterOil Antelope 1 liquefied natural gas (LNG) site is seen in the Gulf Province of Papua New Guinea. The massive LNG project has set a world output record rate of 383 million cubic feet per day of gas with 5,000 barrels of condensate, making it the largest LNG reservoir in the Southern Hemisphere.

Author: Matthew Morris, ANU

The first 50 days of Papua New Guinea’s O’Neill-Namah government have seen reforms take off, including decisive action being taken to tackle corruption, public enterprises being cleaned up, and an 800 million kina (US$362 million) supplementary budget passed focusing on free education and infrastructure.

The next nine months provide an opportunity to put the economic foundations in place for better management of the mineral boom. Read more…