North Korea’s transition: do not let contingencies distract from realities

This undated picture, released from Korean Central News Agency on 12 January 2012 shows North Korean leader Kim Jong-un inspecting the planned construction site for the Pyongyang Folk Park. (Photo: AAP)

Authors: John Delury and Chung-in Moon, Yonsei University

Kim Jong-il’s sudden death spurred yet another round of fevered speculation over the DPRK’s imminent demise.

Some analysts gave the North Korean state only a matter of months to live, and renewed calls on Beijing to engage in ‘contingency planning’ with Washington and Seoul to pre-empt catastrophe when collapse finally comes. Read more…