What will appreciation of the Chinese yuan do to China’s inward and outward direct investment?

A Chinese man looks at a transparent replica of a sport utility vehicle displayed at a foreign engine oil event outside a shopping mall in Beijing, China, Thursday, Feb. 17, 2011. Foreign direct investment in China jumped 23.4 percent in January, rebounding from weakness in December, the Commerce Ministry announced Thursday. (Photo: AAP)

Authors: Karl P. Sauvant and Ken Davies, Columbia University

So far, the discussion of revaluation of the yuan has been almost exclusively about the impact on China’s trade balance.

But it is at least as important to ask what effect it may have on the country’s inward foreign direct investment (IFDI), which plays such a crucial role in China’s economic development, and its outward FDI (OFDI), which is receiving increased attention worldwide. Read more…