Central Asia in 2011: a deceptive calm?

The leaders of the ex-Soviet states take part in the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) narrow format summit in the Moscow Kremlin, on December 20, 2011. Shown clockwise (L-R) are: Kazakhstan President Nursultan Nazarbayev,  Kyrgyzstan President Almazbek Atambaev, Russian President Dmitry Medvedev, Tajikistan President Emomali Rakhmon, Uzbekistan President Islam Karimov (partly hidden), Armenian President Serzh Sarkisian, Belarus President Alexander Lukashenko, CSTO Chariman Nikolai Bordyuzha. 2011 marked 20 years since independence for the five Central Asian republics. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Kirill Nourzhanov, ANU

Central Asia had a relatively tranquil year in 2011. None of the five former Soviet republics constituting the region experienced regime change, civil conflict or economic meltdown — which is an achievement in its own right compared to the preceding tumultuous decade.

Authoritarian super-presidential regimes continued to muddle through in Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan seemingly unperturbed by the Arab Spring or any form of organised opposition. Read more…

Kyrgyzstan’s post-election outlook

Doves are released at a memorial complex commemorating the victims of the April 2010 uprising in the Kyrgyz village of Chon-Tash, some 15 km outside the capital Bishkek, on November 16, 2011, during the complex unveiling. Some 80 people were killed in the April 2010 uprising that ousted Bakiyev and installed a new government.

Author: Kirill Nourzhanov, ANU

Almazbek Atambaev, Kyrgyzstan’s current prime minister, has proved a clear winner in the presidential election that took place on 30 October.

His incumbency in government, political experience and support from the country’s interim president, Roza Otunbayeva, undoubtedly contributed to his victory. Read more…

Russia’s strategic objectives in Asia

The Mistral French amphibious assault ship/helicopter carrier/hospital ship docks on the Neva River in downtown St. Petersburg. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Kirill Nourzhanov, ANU

On 17 June, Russia and France signed a €1.2 billion (US$1.7 billion) contract for the delivery of two French-built Mistral class amphibious assault ships to the Russian Navy.

The first warship will be delivered in 2014 and the second in 2015. Read more…

Bakiev’s government reforms: What’s going on in Kyrgyzstan?

Kyrgyz President Kurmanbek Bakiyev. (photo: AP)

Author: Kirill Nourzhanov, ANU

Premiers are hired and fired all the time in the Kyrgyz Republic. On 21 October, following the resignation of the entire cabinet, Daniyar Usenov became the country’s seventeenth prime minister in its eighteen years of independence. In the past, incompetence, corruption scandals, suspected power ambitions, or merely the President’s whim served as pretexts for government reshuffles. This time the situation appears to be more complex and fraught.

The cabinet’s resignation came after weeks of rumours and media leaks about President Kurmanbek Bakiev’s plans to overhaul the entire executive branch of government. Read more…