The 2012 G20 Summit: facing down global challenges in Mexico

Flags of G20 nations inside the main meeting room of the London Summit, 2 April 2009 (Photo: Flickr user Downing Street)

Author: Maria Monica Wihardja, CSIS, Jakarta

The world’s rapidly changing geopolitical, economic and social landscape demands that this year’s G20 Summit be different from previous years.

The last 12 months have witnessed the Japanese triple disaster, the Middle Eastern and North African ‘Arab Spring’, nuclear-powered North Korea’s leadership succession to a 27-year-old, Western condemnation of the Iranian nuclear power program, and the shift of US military strategy to the Asia Pacific. Read more…

The sixth East Asia Summit: keeping up the neighbourhood

Foreign ministers and government officials attend the US-ASEAN Regional Forum in Nusa Dua in Bali on 23 July 23 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Maria Monica Wihardja, CSIS, Jakarta

The sixth East Asia Summit (EAS) will take place on 19 November in Bali, with its newest members — the US and Russia — breathing new life into the forum.

While the Summit’s original objective of serving as a forum for dialogue on broad strategic, political and economic issues remains important, the US and Russia’s inclusion has now opened an opportunity for greater geopolitical security dialogue. Read more…

Indonesia’s cabinet reshuffle: how low can it go?

This handout photo received and taken on 19 October 2011 by the presidential office shows Indonesia President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (R) swearing in his new cabinet ministers at the State Palace in Jakarta after he reshuffled his cabinet. (Photo: AAP)

Authors: Maria Monica Wihardja and Josef Kristiadi, CSIS, Jakarta

The Indonesian cabinet reshuffle of 18 October has ended in an anti-climax.

The Indonesian people — and even their ministers — were hoping for a more effective cabinet to support Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono’s administration: they were instead left shocked and clueless about the criteria on which he based his decisions. Read more…

Second-generation reform in Asia

Senior APEC officials of Papua New Guinea, Chinese Taipei, New Zealand and Vietnam walking from an APEC Forum Ministerial Meeting in Big Sky, Montana on May 19 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Maria Monica Wihardja, CSIS, Jakarta

In his 2007 paper, ‘Microeconomic Policy Reform: Strategy for Regional Cooperation’, the late Indonesian economist Hadi Soesastro wrote that while first-generation economic reforms in East Asia have gradually opened up the economies in the region by removing border barriers, second-generation economic reforms and deeper regional cooperation are needed.

‘Economic well-being and domestic competitiveness are influenced not only by openness to trade and competition but also by the region’s regulatory and structural architecture’. Read more…

G20 and global democracy

G20 leaders pose for a group photo at the G20 summit in Seoul, South Korea. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Maria Wihardja, CSIS

The world is biting its fingernails in anticipation of developments in the global economy and geopolitical landscape.

The Doha Round is on life support, and the OPEC talks on 8 June to increase the world’s oil supply have broken down. Read more…

2011 East Asia Summit: New members, challenges and opportunities

US Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton (L) gestures as Vietnamese Foreign Minister Pham Gia Khiem (R) looks on during a press conference at the 17th ASEAN Summit and related summits in Hanoi, Vietnam, 30 October 2010. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Maria Monica Wihardja, CSIS, Jakarta

In mid-November 2011, Indonesia will host the Sixth East Asia Summit (EAS).

Based on the Kuala Lumpur Declaration 2005, this year’s Summit will continue to be a forum for dialogue on broad strategic, political and economic issues to promote ‘common security, common prosperity, and common stability.’ Read more…

The G20 and the BRICS: How to manage the politics?

French Finance Minister Christine Lagarde, left, and France central bank governor Christian Noyer answer questions at a press conference at the end of the G20 financial seminar on the International Monetary System in Nanjing, eastern China's Jiangsu province, Thursday, March 31, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Maria Monica Wihardja, CSIS, Indonesia

This year’s BRIC Summit, to be held in mid-April in China, will mark the entry of South Africa into membership of the group.

The economies of BRICS (now with the addition of ‘S’ for South Africa) will also prepare for the G20 Summit to be held later this year. BRICS, for which the combined economy is predicted to overtake the US by 2018, is not only an emerging economic power but also an increasingly influential political power; and China, acting as a global regime maker instead of a regime taker, is leading the way. Read more…

The chimera of rising Asia

An unidentified beggar feeds her son as a pedestrian passes by in Bombay, India. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Maria Monica Wihardja, CSIS, Indonesia

The Asian Development Bank, along with Indonesian ministries, including the Trade Ministry and the National Development Planning Ministry, this month held a symposium on ‘Asia’s Development Agenda in Regional and International Fora’ and a consultation meeting on ‘Asia 2050.’ These themes are timely; despite its growth miracles, Asia continues to face development challenges, and its stake in the global economic recovery is high.

Asia’s success is not pre-ordained, according to Shigeo Katsu, a senior associate of the Centennial Group, at the Asia 2050 meeting. He suggests that the worst possible scenario for Asia by 2050 would see India and China become trapped as middle-income countries with poor institutions and governance, and growing inequality. Read more…

A portrait of deforestation in East Kalimantan, Indonesia

Deforestation for palm oil plantations in East Kalimantan, Indonesia. (Photo: flickr user 'Greenpeace NZ')

Author: Maria Monica Wihardja, CSIS

Indonesia has one of the highest rates of deforestation in the world. Illegal deforestation is currently rife, and the loss of government revenue associated with this illegality has been estimated at $US 100 million in East Kalimantan alone.

Deforestation is caused, in part, by land use changes resulting from cash-crop plantations and mining, particularly for coal in East Kalimantan. Recent increases in the rates of deforestation have occurred in three stages, and have been exacerbated by a number of policy developments and reforms. Read more…

G20: East Asian and Pacific countries should pick up momentum of reforms

Leaders of G20 nations pose for a group photograph at the G20 London Summit, on 2 April 2009. (Photo: Downing Street)

Author: Maria Wihardja, CSIS, Jakarta

In the upcoming G20 summit in Seoul, East Asian Pacific countries must be careful not to focus narrowly on their own regional institutions and issues. Instead, they must aim to bring momentum to the global economic recovery and reforms. The agenda must resist being sidelined by current European concerns, and maintain a focus on Asian economies as they move beyond the financial crisis.

The formation of the G20 is a delayed recognition of the shifting of the global economy to the East, especially with the Chinese economy’s emerging power. The cooperation of these economies represents an opportunity for significant global growth. Read more…

ASEAN+3 needs an independent regional surveillance institution

ASEAN+3 Finance Ministers in Bali earlier this year. (photo: AFP)

Author: Maria Monica Wihardja, CSIS, Jakarta

This post looks at the interaction between economic and political institutions.

A theoretical study of a simple strategic complementary game with private and public information among partially informed agents such as central banks shows that initial fundamentals might give rise to different levels of transparency. Read more…