The Six-Party Talks and building a nuclear-free Northeast Asia

A North Korean soldier stands guard in front of a military vehicle carrying what is believed to be a Taepodong-class missile Intermediary Range Ballistic Missile (IRBM), about 20 meters long, during a military parade to mark the 100th birth of Kim Il-Sung in Pyongyang on 15 April 2012. The commemorations came just two days after the failed satellite launch. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Chung-in Moon, Yonsei University

The controversy over North Korea’s highly enriched uranium (HEU) program, despite intense diplomatic efforts, shows no immediate signs of reaching a peaceful settlement.

Rays of hope from the 15 September Joint Statement in 2005 and the 13 February 2007 Agreement on ‘Initial Actions for the Implementation of the Joint Statement’ at the Six Party Talks (SPTs) have been fading. Read more…

North Korea’s transition: do not let contingencies distract from realities

This undated picture, released from Korean Central News Agency on 12 January 2012 shows North Korean leader Kim Jong-un inspecting the planned construction site for the Pyongyang Folk Park. (Photo: AAP)

Authors: John Delury and Chung-in Moon, Yonsei University

Kim Jong-il’s sudden death spurred yet another round of fevered speculation over the DPRK’s imminent demise.

Some analysts gave the North Korean state only a matter of months to live, and renewed calls on Beijing to engage in ‘contingency planning’ with Washington and Seoul to pre-empt catastrophe when collapse finally comes. Read more…

Park Chung-hee, the CIA and the bomb

US President Barack Obama (L) shakes hands with his South Korean counterpart Lee Myung-bak during a press conference in the East Room of the White House in Washington, DC, on October 13, 2011. Obama warned North Korea Thursday that it would face deeper isolation and international pressure if it carried out more provocations like those that rattled Asia last year. Obama, standing side-by-side with South Korean President Lee Myung-Bak at the White House, said Pyongyang could however expect greater opportunities if it lived up to its international obligations over its nuclear program. (Photo: AAP)

Authors: Peter Hayes, RMIT and Chung-in Moon, Yonsei University

A declassified 1978 CIA report related to nuclear proliferation during the Park Chung-hee era shows that, far from making South Korea more secure, Park’s toying with the nuclear option made him an unpredictable and even dangerous client who needed restraint in the eyes of US policy makers.

The ROK’s nuclear ambitions, especially in the post-1975 period, resulted in the US threatening to rupture the security alliance if the ROK did not stop its nuclear intransigence. Read more…

Time for change in Korea’s rough-and-ready China policy

South Korean Defense Minister Kim Kwan-Jin (L) shakes hands with Japanese Defense Minister Toshimi Kitazawa (R) before their meeting at the South Korean defence ministry in Seoul on January 10, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Moon Chung-in, Yonsei University, Seoul

There is flashing red light in Korea’s China diplomacy. Turning a blind eye toward us, China adopted a neutral stance in the Ch’ŏnan incident, and in the case of the Yŏnp’yŏng Island incident, China even gave the impression it was taking North Korea’s side by its use of terms such as ‘cross-fire’ to refer to the shelling.

On North Korea’s uranium enrichment program, China has taken an essentially passive stance by not only stressing the importance of ‘verifying the facts’ in reference to the reported enrichment facility, but also recognizing North Korea’s right to peaceful use of atomic energy. Read more…