India and Japan boost cooperation, but no nuclear power deal

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is welcomed by his Japanese counterpart Shinzo Abe upon his arrival at the State Guest House in Kyoto, on 30 August 2014. Modi flew into Japan for a five-day official visit as their governments seek to boost security ties and counter a increasingly assertive China. (Photo: AAP).

Authors: Pravakar Sahoo and Abhirup Bhunia, IEG

Modi’s visit to Japan from 31 August to 3 September was dubbed a success. But what has been achieved? And what do these achievements mean for both countries?

Modi’s visit assumed far greater significance than any previous visits by Indian prime ministers. This is because Modi has a powerful mandate and, of course, because of the reported bonhomie between Modi and Abe. When Modi was Gujarat’s chief minister, Japanese firms participating in the Vibrant Gujarat Summit invested between US$2–3 billion in various manufacturing and infrastructure projects in that state, in response to its investor friendly environment. Modi shares this business friendly attitude with Abe. Read more…

BCIM Corridor a game changer for South Asian trade

A vender weights corn for a customer at a market in Yingjiang, near the Myanmar border, Yunnan Province, China, 26 May 2012. (Photo: AAP).

Authors: Pravakar Sahoo and Abhirup Bhunia, Institute of Economic Growth

The Bangladesh–China–India–Myanmar (BCIM) Economic Corridor will increase socioeconomic development and trade in South Asia. The initiative seeks to improve connectivity and infrastructure, energy resources, agriculture, and trade and investment. It will connect India’s Northeast, Bangladesh, Myanmar, and the Chinese province of Yunnan through a network of roads, railways, waterways, and airways under a proper regulatory framework. The current focus of BCIM talks is on an inter-regional road network. This makes sense, as roads are the cheapest route of trade. Read more…

Will India smash FDI ceiling on defence?

Military personnel successively test an Akash missile in very low altitude in Balasore, Orissa, India, 18 June 2014. India is looking to increase its FDI ceiling for the defence industry. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Pravakar Sahoo, Delhi University

In a bid to invite foreign investment, increase domestic production and modernise India’s defence industry, the new government has initiated cabinet note to raise the industry’s foreign direct investment (FDI) ceiling from 26 to 100 per cent. The FDI ceiling for defence will be increased in graded steps to incentivise technology transfer — it will be raised to 49 per cent in cases where there is no technology transfer, up to 74 per cent in cases where a technology transfer is being proposed, and there will be a no-cap policy for cases which bring in state-of-the-art technology. Read more…

Leaving Pakistan–India trade barriers up ties political progress down

A group of Indian fishermen sits on the ground after their release from a prison as they show their temporary travel documents while crossing into India through India-Pakistan Wagah border near Lahore, Pakistan, 24 August 2013. Pakistan recently announced that it would not consider conferring most favoured nation status on India. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Pravakar Sahoo, Institute of Economic Growth

The recent announcement by Pakistan’s finance minister that most favoured nation (MFN) status to India will not be considered is an additional blow to India-Pakistan relations.

While improved trade relations could significantly enhance political ties between the two countries, and this announcement makes it more likely that bilateral relations will continue to languish at current low levels. Read more…

India’s insurance industry needs foreign investment

An Indian hand rickshaw puller pulls a passenger early morning in Calcutta. Indian insurance companies need foreign investment if they are to appeal to a more diverse range of clients (Photo: AAP).

Author: Pravakar Sahoo, Delhi University

India’s current account deficit is expected to be 5 per cent of GDP this fiscal year. With the deficit still growing and FDI inflows declining (with the exception of the numbers for January 2013), the government needs to facilitate investment in the economy.

Read more…

The Indian economy: a rough 2012 but tougher 2013

Mahatma Gandhi's statue overlooks Indian Parliament House as lawmakers debate on FDI in New Delhi, India, Wednesday, 5 December 2012 (Photo:AAP).

Author: Pravakar Sahoo, IEG

In economic terms, 2012 has been a remarkable year for the Indian economy.

The year started in the shadow of the policy reversal on FDI in multi-brand ownership, followed by a working budget without major policy reforms and concrete steps to control fiscal deficit, subsidies and tapering growth. Read more…

India’s economic reforms: light at the end of the tunnel

People walk through a Bharti-Walmart store on the outskirts of Chandigarh, India, on 16 September 2012. India agreed to open its huge market to foreign retailers such as Wal-Mart as part of a flurry of economic reforms aimed at sparking new growth. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Pravakar Sahoo, IEG

The Indian government announced, in response to claims that it is responsible for India’s slowing economy, new reform measures on 14 September.

The reforms include a revision of fuel prices, allowing 51 per cent FDI in multi-brand retailing, allowing international airlines to invest in domestic airlines, increasing FDI equity from 49 per cent to 74 per cent in broadcasting services and disinvestment of four public sector undertakings. Read more…

India and APEC: time to move from observer to member

APEC leaders wave as they leave after their group photo on the final day of the APEC leaders summit in Vladivostok, Russia. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Pravakar Sahoo, IEG

The APEC leaders’ summit just ended in Vladivostok, and focused on free trade, food security, and sustainable and quality growth.

These are crucial issues that would help global economic recovery and set out a roadmap for the medium- and long-term growth of Pacific Rim countries. Read more…

The free-falling rupee: a blow to the Indian economy

An Indian counts currency notes near the Reserve Bank of India, 22 Nov 2011. The Indian rupee plunged to an all time low against the dollar Tuesday despite central bank efforts to staunch the decline. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Pravakar Sahoo, IEG

A falling currency may be normal and acceptable when the economy is slowing, but the rupee’s apparent free fall over the last few months — more than 15 per cent since August — is a serious blow to the Indian economy.

Though a depreciating rupee is not surprising given India’s international investment position, with its higher rate of liabilities than assets, such a sudden fall is worrisome. Read more…

India’s war against inflation victimises growth

A daily wage porter loads goods onto his bicycle for delivery at a spice market in Mumbai. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Pravakar Sahoo, IEG

In its latest monetary policy review, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), continuing with its tight monetary policy, revised policy rates upwards for the eleventh consecutive time.

Both the repo rate and the reverse repo rates went up by 50 basis points to 8 per cent (from 7.5 per cent) and 7 per cent (from 6.5 per cent) respectively. Read more…

India’s 2011-12 budget fails to see the big picture

A placard is displayed on a tree during a protest by garment retailers against the proposed mandatory 10 percent excise duty on branded garments in the recent federal budget in New Delhi, India, Tuesday, March 15, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Pravakar Sahoo, Institute of Economic Growth

India’s 2011–12 budget is too conservative. It simply goes with the flow, faithfully assuming that a 9 per cent GDP growth will continue next year.

But there is a good chance growth will slow down; a sluggish business environment and a lack of confidence from both domestic and foreign investors portend this. Read more…