Big money, big dams: large-scale Chinese investment in Laos

Workers observe construction on Dachaoshan dam in Yunnan province, China. The dam is  on the Mekong river, a source of food and livelihood for 60 million people downstream in Southeast Asia (Photo: AAP).

Author: Huw Pohlner, Asialink

Over the last two decades, Chinese governments have approved the construction of a cascade of large dams on the stretches of the Mekong River that lie within its borders, prompting disquiet amongst downstream riparian states.

Those states — Cambodia, Laos, Thailand and Vietnam — are now set to wage their own battle for control of precious water resources, with China looming large through its role as a willing creditor. Read more…

Myanmar’s anti-Muslim violence: a threat to Chinese and Indian interests

A man walks in a site where a building once stood before sectarian violence between  ethnic Rakhine Buddhists and Muslim Rohingya in western Myanmar which started last year, in Meikhtila, central Myanmar on 21 May 2013 (Photo: AAP).

Author: Micha’el Tanchum, Hebrew University of Jerusalem

Myanmar’s abundant energy resources and key geostrategic location between India and China has seen a miniature ‘Great Game’ develop since its recent democratic opening and re-entry into the international community.

While several countries have become players in Myanmar’s development, India and China have taken the lead with the construction of multi-billion dollar deepwater ports and energy projects. Read more…

Don’t declare victory for Abenomics yet

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe speaks during a press conference in Tokyo on Friday, April 19, 2013. (Photo: AAP).

Author: Tobias Harris, Cambridge, Massachusetts

With the yen falling to below JPY100/US$1 for the first time since 2009 and the Nikkei posting five-year highs, analysts have begun declaring victory for the Abe administration’s campaign against deflation and slow growth.

But it is far too early to draw conclusions about the success of Abenomics — given that deflation continues — and Read more…

Election day in Pakistan: large voter turnout despite violence

Pakistani supporters of Imran Khan, the head of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) party, take part in a protest against the killing of Sindh provincial party leader Zohra Hussain, in Islamabad on May 20, 2013.(Photo: AAP).

Author: Alicia Mollaun, ANU

The lead-up to Pakistan’s historic 11 May elections was bloody. From the beginning of April to polling day more than 120 people were killed in election-related violence and many parties were severely restricted in their ability to campaign due to threats of brutality, primarily from the Taliban.

On election day, more than 600,000 security personnel were deployed Read more…

Indonesia’s nationalistic approach to financial policy

A high rise office tower under construction at night in Jakarta on 6 August 2012. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Anwar Nasution, University of Indonesia

Earlier this year, Bank Indonesia (BI) issued a package of nine regulations that indicate the Indonesian government is taking a new nationalistic approach to the financial sector.

The package provides more protection to domestic banks, particularly public sector banks, by imposing more restrictions on foreign banks. But will the new regulations help Indonesia? Read more…

Reforming civilian–military relations in Myanmar

Fighter jets fly over a parade ground during a ceremony marking the 68th anniversary celebrations of Armed Forces Day, in Naypyidaw, Myanmar. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Adam P MacDonald, Halifax

An important aspect of the current reform era in Myanmar is the retreat of the Tatmadaw (the Myanmar Armed Forces) from the day to day workings of government.

This is the case despite (or perhaps because) the current Union of Solidarity and Development Party government is comprised primarily of serving or retired military officers. Read more…

Abe rocks Japan’s constitutional boat

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe sitting in the cockpit of a training airplane during his visit to an Air Self-Defense Force base in Higashimatsushima, Miyagi Prefecture, on May 12, 2013. South Korean Foreign Ministry spokesman Cho Tai Young on May 16, 2013, criticized Abe for posing for a photo in the cockpit of a plane with the number 731 written on its body, as the figure reminds South Koreans of Unit 731, a former Japanese military unit believed to have conducted human experiments. (Photo: AAP).

Author: Aurelia George Mulgan, UNSW Canberra

Japan’s Prime Minister Abe and the ruling LDP are capitalising on their popularity and the deterioration in Japan’s regional security environment to launch a reinvigorated campaign to amend the Japanese Constitution. In April 2012, the LDP released new draft proposals for revising the document, the most important legacy of the US Occupation of Japan.

Despite the Abe cabinet’s 65 per cent approval rating, Read more…

Australia’s new region: the Indo-Pacific

Prime Minister Julia Gillard (centre), Minister for Defence Stephen Smith (left) and CDF General David Hurley hold a media conference inside a Hurcules military plane after the release of the 2013 Defence white paper in Canberra, Friday, May 3, 2013. (Photo: AAP)

Authors: Melissa Conley Tyler and Samantha Shearman, AIIA

With the release of the Defence White Paper 2013 on 3 May, Australia officially has a new region, the ‘Indo-Pacific’: a strategic arc ‘connecting the Indian and Pacific Oceans through Southeast Asia’.

Given the long history of linking Australian foreign policy to the ‘Asia-Pacific’, this is a significant change in terminology. How did we get to this point and what are the implications? Read more…

Pakistan’s elections: daunting challenges await Sharif’s third term

Former two-times Pakistani Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif, who heads the Pakistan Muslim League Nawaz political party that has won a majority in the parliament, talks with journalists after his meeting with Imran Khan. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Sajjad Ashraf, NUS

After a better-than-expected win by the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N), led by two-time Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif in Saturday’s (11 May) Pakistani elections, the country awaits the change of government with a lot of hope.

This is the first time in Pakistan’s volatile 66-year-old history a democratic dispensation will replace another. Read more…

India’s and China’s deft diplomacy reflects strategic common ground

Chinese Premier Li Keqiang waves as he is received by Indian junior minister for external affairs E. Ahamed after he arrived in New Delhi, India, on 19 May 2013. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Peter Drysdale, Editor, East Asia Forum

Li Keqiang is today in New Delhi on his first visit to India as China’s new premier, an unprecedentedly early high-level exchange between the two great emerging Asian powers. The visit comes only a week or two after resolution of what seemed to be a stand-off between the two in the Ladakh Himalayas on the Sino–Indian border. Read more…

China–India ties: lessons from a Himalayan standoff

Indian protestors of right wing Shiv Sena party burn an effigy and shout slogans against the alleged incursion by Chinese troops into Indian territory, during a protest in New Delhi, India, on 1 May 2013. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Sourabh Gupta, Samuels International

It is remarkable the sort of anxiety that a handful of lightly armed People’s Liberation Army (PLA) soldiers and their dog can educe on a disputed frontier.

On 15 April three dozen or so such soldiers, many miles removed from reinforcement or logistical support, pitched their tents in a demonstrative assertion Read more…

The Philippines’ prospects at the UN Tribunal

Filipinos in a line to cast their votes in Pagasa Island, which is part of the disputed Spratly group of islands in the South China Sea located off the coast of the western Philippines (Photo: AAP).

Author: Huy Duong, South East Asian Sea Foundation

On 25 April 2013, Shunji Yanai, president of the International Tribunal for the Law of the Sea, appointed the final three of the five arbitrators to the tribunal adjudicating legal proceedings that the Philippines has brought against China relating to some of the disputes in the South China Sea.

Read more…

India’s green industrial policy

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Author: Ashwini K Swain, Delhi

After the global financial crisis governments were asked to support industrial activities, and eventually many states decided to restructure their industrial policy.

After all, there is a new reason for industrial policy — the problem of climate change. Read more…

South China Sea disputes strain Vietnam–China relations

A view of Yonxing Island in the South China Sea, where China has established its newest city, Sansha, in an effort to shore up its territorial position. Sansha has a post office, bank, supermarket and a hospital (Photo: AAP).

Author: Le Hong Hiep, Vietnam National University and UNSW Canberra

Since 1991, comprehensive Vietnam–China relations have developed but remain constrained by the South China Sea (SCS) disputes.

What makes the disputes highly relevant for future bilateral relations is that they have proven intractable, leaving the possibility of an eventual solution a matter of almost infinite uncertainty. Read more…