Thailand: robust electoral politics but unstable democracy

The then opposition Puea Thai party candidate (now Prime-Minister of Thailand) Yingluck Shinawatra celebrates her victory at party headquarters in Bangkok. (Photo AAP/Nicolas Asfouri)

Author: Prajak Kongkirati, ANU

On the surface the general election of 3 July 2011 may look like any other Thai election, but both its timing and context set it apart as historically significant.

Incumbent Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva called for elections on 11 March 2011, even though his government had until the year’s end to finish its term. Read more…

Thailand in 2011: a year of surprises

Thailand's new Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra, center, waves to media at the parliament in Bangkok, Thailand Friday, 5 Aug. 2011 after Thai lawmakers chose US-educated businesswoman Yingluck as the country's first female prime minister. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Pisit Leeahtam, Chiang Mai University

After facing two violent street protests in the last two years, Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva’s coalition government started 2011 in relative calm.

The then-opposition Pheu Thai Party was without a visible leader, and many saw the red shirts as still suffering from the May 2010 violence and thus unlikely to stage another street protest. Read more…

Thailand’s soldiers of political fortune

Army Commander in Chief Sonthi Boonyaratklin, left, greets General Surayud Chulanont, right, shortly after the General was appointment Prime Minister in October 2006. (Photo: AAP)

Authors: Desmond Ball and Nicholas Farrelly, ANU

In the lead-up to Thailand’s July 2011 election the tough-talking army chief, General Prayuth Chan-ocha, weighed into the political debate, insisting that voters should defend the king and elect ‘good people’.

General Prayuth hoped, no doubt, that his efforts to sway popular sentiment would lead to a victory for the embattled Democrat Party. Read more…

Paying for higher education in Thailand

Nine-year-old Thai boy Thuanchanok Khantip colors his picture  during a drawing contest at an agriculture fair in Kastsart University, Bangkok (Photo: EPA/ Uthaiwan Boonloy)

Author: Bruce Chapman, ANU

A sustained effort to upgrade human capital is needed for countries in Southeast Asia to increase living standards to those of the advanced economies. Higher education and access to it are essential in boosting long-term productivity and supporting economic outcomes that are crucial to a country’s ability to integrate into the increasingly knowledge-based global economy.

Public investment is one element in improving higher education, but fully subsidising higher education has been shown to be inefficient and expensive. Read more…

Thailand’s elemental political conflict

A Thai anti-government protester runs past burning tyres as protesters battle Thai soldiers who are preventing them from entering the main red shirt protest site during violent street battles at Din Daeng Road, Bangkok on 17 May 2010. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Chris Baker, Kyoto University

Last year, fire; this year, water.

The largest demonstrations in Thailand’s political history ended with over 90 deaths in April–May 2010, but 18 months later, with the country’s biggest floods in half a century, some believed that togetherness in suffering would revive a mythical ‘national unity’. Read more…

The Thai–Australia FTA: discriminatory effects of rules of origin

People examine Toyata's new car model "Wish" at the International Motor Expo 2003 in Bangkok, 01 December 2003. The Thai-Austalia Free Trade Agreement (TAFTA) significantly increased Thailand's export in automobiles. (Photo: AAP)

Authors: Prema-chandra Athukorala, ANU; and Archanun Kohpaiboon, Thammasat University

The proliferation of FTAs over the past two decades has sparked a debate in Australian and international policy forums about their implications for the operation of the global trading system and ways of mitigating likely discriminatory effects on both partners and non-signatory countries.

An examination of the impact of the Australia–Thailand free trade agreement (TAFTA) of January 2005 on trade between the two countries provides valuable input into this debate. Read more…

Impunity and the neglect of human rights in Thailand

A Thai soldier looks on as his colleagues question a Thai-Muslim student during a raid at an Islamic school in Pattani province, southern Thailand in July 2005. Human rights officials said civil liberties were compromised by laws giving authorities sweeping powers to quell an Islamic rebellion in the southern provinces. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Tyrell Haberkorn, ANU

Coups are not uncommon in Thai politics — September 2006 saw the tenth successful coup since the country’s transformation from absolute to constitutional monarchy in 1932 — but the aftermath of Thaksin Shinawatra’s deposition has been exceptionally bitter and violent.

Many observers hoped the newly elected Yingluck Shinawatra government would begin to consolidate the rule of law and respect for human rights in Thailand. Read more…

Bearing the consequences of population policy in Thailand

An elderly Thai woman rows her boat to a floating market in Damnoen Saduak

Author: Gavin Jones, ANU

Thailand went through its fertility transition more quickly than almost any other country, with the average number of children born to the average woman declining from about six to two in little more than two decades, between about 1970 and 1990.

Fertility rates have since gone still lower, now standing at around 30 per cent below replacement level (the level that would lead to long-run population stability). This does not mean that Thailand’s population has stopped increasing. Read more…

Thailand’s Lèse-majesté laws: a potent weapon

Thai academic and activist Ji Ungpakorn speaks during a news conference at Chulalongkorn University in Bangkok, Jan. 13, 2009. Ji, whose mother is British, called for the abolition of Thailand's lese majeste law, which makes criticism of the monarchy a crime punishable by up to 15 years in jail. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Pavin Chachavalpongpun, ISAS

The increasing frequency of lèse-majesté cases over the past few years suggests that Thailand’s claim to be the ‘land of the free’ no longer rings quite true.

There are many reasons behind the law’s application. Propping up a weakened monarchical institution and disguising the uncertainty of the royal succession is one rationale. Attempts to control society, conserve elitist privileges, prolong the military’s role in politics, obstruct democratisation and cope with the technological revolution in cyberspace also play a significant role. Read more…

Where is Thailand heading?

For the first time since September 2006, when a military coup deposed the government of Thaksin Shinawatra, Thailand has a leadership whose legal and electoral legitimacy is acknowledged by a large majority of Thais. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Peter Drysdale, Editor, East Asia Forum

The death toll from Thailand’s worst floods in more than half a century is more than 600, millions of hectares of farmland have been inundated, 20,000 factories and plants have been damaged, some that are not likely to reopen, leaving at least 1.5 million unemployed.

As the clean-up continues, accusations of incompetence and corruption in the management of the crisis and the allocation of relief, have dominated the media and the Parliament. Read more…

Thailand: politics of a flood

This aerial image shows partially-submerged vehicles sitting stranded in floodwaters at a roundabout in the Thai ancient capital city of Ayutthaya, north of Bangkok, 16 October 2011.  Flood defences protecting the Thai capital held up 16 October, but the advancing waters that have swamped the inland still threaten to engulf Bangkok in a disaster that has claimed 300 lives. Thailand's worst floods in decades have inundated huge swathes of the kingdom, swallowing homes and businesses, shutting down industry, and forcing tens of thousands of people to seek refuge in shelters. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Chayut Setboonsarng, GWU

After torrents of water broke through makeshift barriers around Bangkok in the nation’s worst flood in 50 years, the Yingluck administration was slammed for mismanagement, weak leadership and fragmented coordination in handling the monsoon.

And the credibility of the Flood Relief Operations Center (FROC), led by Police General Pracha Promnok, deteriorated due to its inexperience. Read more…

Eastern Islam and the Arab Spring

Pakistani and Afghan refugee children attend a daily class on how to read verses of the Quran, in a mosque in a slum on the outskirts of Islamabad, Pakistan, on 30 November 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Vikas Kumar, Bangalore

In the aftermath of the Arab Spring, commentators on East Asia Forum have highlighted the moderate character of Southeast Asian Islam.

Bahrawi argues that contested interpretations of Islam are democratising Islam in Southeast Asia — but similar contests seem to be ineffective in countries like Pakistan. And van Bruinessen argues that large, resilient Islamic organisations are stabilising Indonesian democracy — but comparable organisations are failing to play such a role in other Islamic countries. So are local factors playing a bigger role in Southeast Asia than is usually suspected?  Read more…

Thailand’s economy vulnerable to populist politics

A Red Shirt demonstrator with painted face gathers in support of the new prime minister, Yingluck Shinawatra (pictured L), after she was endorsed into office at parliament in Bangkok on August 5, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Pisit Leeahtam, Chiang Mai University

Since the 2006 coup, which ousted Thaksin Shinawatra, there have been two general elections in Thailand.

Both these elections — in 2007 and 2011 — saw successor parties allied with Thaksin win more seats than any other party, all while Thaksin himself was in exile. Read more…