Chinese economic reform, full front and centre

Pedestrians cross a street in a busy shopping district of Beijing on 1 February 2012. A low share of private consumption expenditure and a super-elevated share of investment in GDP are among the problems that need to be corrected to propel China toward a new and sustainable growth path. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Peter Drysdale, Editor, East Asia Forum

China’s vice president, Xi Jinping, is set to make a hugely important visit to the US next week, prior to succeeding President Hu Jintao as China’s next president later this year.

The visit will set the stage for interaction between the next generation of Chinese leaders and American political leadership and help to shape how the most important bilateral relationship in the world will be managed over the medium-term future. Read more…

Sustaining economic growth in China

A migrant worker walks past an advertisement for a residential apartment project in Shaoyang city, Hunan province, 17 December 2011. China said on 31 January 2012 that it will improve tightening measures in the property market to fend off a speculative bubble and help home prices return to reasonable levels. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Nicholas Lardy, PIIE

China’s 2009-10 stimulus program was quite successful: growth ticked down only slightly in 2009 while the rest of the world suffered its sharpest decline in 60 years.

But the stimulus program was not intended to address the longer-term structural problems that in 2007 led China’s premier, Wen Jiabao, to characterise the country’s growth as ‘unsteady, imbalanced, uncoordinated and unsustainable’. Read more…

Can Asia save the sinking world economy?

Visitors pass away their time outside the SM Mall of Asia, the world's third largest shopping mall, in Manila, Philippines. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Choong Yong Ahn, Chung-Ang University

Since the fourth quarter of 2010, the global economy has faced serious uncertainty and a turbulent outlook.

Both the US and Europe have gloomy growth prospects due to a lack of credible medium-term plans for debt reduction in the US and the sovereign debt crisis in southern Europe. Read more…

Immigration and the Thai labour market

A cotton weaver at an opium-replacement development project near the Myanmar border. The Thai economy has a large labour-intensive informal sector. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Dilaka Lathapipat, TDRI

There is a widespread belief among Thais that immigrants reduce local workers’ job opportunities and depress wages.

This is evident from an opinion survey study conducted in late 2010 by the International Labour Organisation (ILO) Triangle Project on public attitudes to migration and migrant workers. Read more…

Russia’s accession to the WTO

Ministry of Economic Development of the Russian Federation Elvira Nabiullina and WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy hold the protocol documents during a signing ceremony on Russia accession to the WTO on 16 December 2011 in Geneva. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Abdur Chowdhury, Marquette University

Joining the WTO in 2012 marks the culmination of a long period of transformation for Russia, which first applied for membership in June 1993, and finally had its terms of entry accepted on 16 December.

To join the WTO, Russia has had to overhaul its national laws to bring them into conformity with the global trade regime, and work out bilateral market-opening deals with all other members. Russia has agreed to slash tariffs, get rid of industrial subsidies and allow foreign companies greater access to its domestic market. Read more…

India’s economic slowdown a stain on 2011

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) building is seen in Mumbai, India, Tuesday, 24 January 2012. India's central bank said growth will slow to 7 per cent this fiscal year, but left interest rates unchanged Tuesday as it struggles to balance a toxic mix of high inflation and a flagging economy. (Photo: AAP)

Author: M. Govinda Rao, NIPFP

India’s economy was one of the earliest to stage a turnaround after the global financial crisis.

The decisions taken in early 2008 to increase public-sector wages, forgive loans for farmers who had borrowed from the banks, and massively expand the rural-employment guarantee scheme assisted the economy before the global financial crisis unfolded in the last quarter of the year. Read more…

India’s retail democracy and the ‘Luddites’

India Retail

Author: Vikas Kumar, Azim Premji University

India’s decision against allowing FDI in the retail sector has evoked strong reactions. According to the Indian Parliamentary Standing Committee on Commerce (PSCC), this sector accounts for about 10 per cent of GDP and is the second-largest employer after agriculture.

It employs about 40 million people (8 per cent of the workforce) and thereby affects as much as one-sixth of India’s population. This sector absorbs large numbers of unemployed youth, particularly in towns and cities, by offering them entrepreneurial opportunities. Read more…

Thailand: from financial crisis to financial resilience

An investor checks the stock prices on monitors at a private trading room in Bangkok (Photo: AAP)

Author: Bandid Nijathaworn, Thai Bond Market Association

The development of Thailand’s financial sector has been a story of restructuring, adjustment and renewal, following the devastating effects of the Asian financial crisis in the late 1990s.

The crisis was very costly to the Thai financial system, with an estimated gross fiscal loss equivalent to about 33 per cent of 2006 GDP. Read more…

Malaysia’s progress in a gloomy global economy and contested political environment

Anwar Ibrahim celeberates his acquittal on January 9, 2012. The Malaysian opposition leader was acquitted in a surprise end to a politically-charged sodomy trial he has called a government bid to cripple his opposition ahead of upcoming polls. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Mahani Zainal Abidin, ISIS Malaysia

After stating in 2010 his vision to transform Malaysia, Prime Minister Najib’s task in 2011 was to turn vision into reality.

The Government Transformation Programme made some progress on this front, improving the delivery of some public services. A number of Economic Transformation Programme (ETP) projects also delivered higher private-sector investments and successful large property joint ventures between the government and the private sector, both of which helped revive the investment climate. Read more…

The OECD and Asia: a Cold War organisation in the age of globalisation

South Korean President Lee Myung-bak delivers a congratulatory address at the third World Forum OECD. (Photo: AAP Image/Yonhap News Agency)

Author: John West, MrGlobalization

How does a Cold War organisation like the OECD respond to the end of the Cold War? Does it try to hang on to its former identity? Or does it embrace the new ‘age of globalisation’?

The end of the Cold War in 1989 represented a victory of values and ideology — the triumph of pluralistic democracy, respect for human rights and the market economy — for the OECD and its member countries. Read more…

Thailand in 2011: a year of surprises

Thailand's new Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra, center, waves to media at the parliament in Bangkok, Thailand Friday, 5 Aug. 2011 after Thai lawmakers chose US-educated businesswoman Yingluck as the country's first female prime minister. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Pisit Leeahtam, Chiang Mai University

After facing two violent street protests in the last two years, Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva’s coalition government started 2011 in relative calm.

The then-opposition Pheu Thai Party was without a visible leader, and many saw the red shirts as still suffering from the May 2010 violence and thus unlikely to stage another street protest. Read more…