Malaysia’s fiscal and political uncertainties continue through 2011

A delegate waves the party's flag during the Malaysia's ruling party United Malays National Organization (UMNO) general assembly in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. (Photo AAP/Lai Seng Sin)

Author: Mohamed Ariff, INCEIF

After registering an impressive 7.2 per cent growth in 2010, the Malaysian economy visibly slowed down in 2011. GDP growth moderated to 5 per cent in the first half of the year, due mainly to sluggish export growth, but increased to 5.8 per cent growth in the third quarter, thanks to commodity exports and domestic demand.

Manufactured exports, the main driver of growth, did not fare well over the year, owing to depressed demand conditions in the US and EU. Read more…

Toward real national reconciliation in Myanmar?

In this handout photograph released by the Myanmar News Agency , Myanmar's democracy champion Aung San Suu Kyi (L) poses for a photo with President Thein Sein (R) during their meeting at the presidential office in capital Naypyidaw on 19 August, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Roger Lee Huang, City University of Hong Kong

A new sense of optimism seems to be emerging in Myanmar (Burma). The nominally civilian government, formed as a result of last year’s election, has unveiled a series of reforms and offered an olive branch to opposition leader Aung San Suu Kyi.

When the former prime minister turned president, Thein Sein, gave his inaugural speech in March, he addressed serious issues such as national reconciliation, good governance and economic reforms — hinting at a divergence from the practices of his State Peace and Development Council (SPDC) predecessor. Thein Sein’s words have also been matched by concrete actions in the last few months, signalling the possibility for real change. Read more…

Afghanistan after US withdrawal: Could Karzai seek a third term in office?

President Barack Obama meets with Afghan President Hamid Karzai in New York. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Anna Verney, ANU

There is a real danger that Afghanistan’s President Karzai might venture to bypass constitutional limitations on seeking a third term in office when his current tenure expires in 2014.

The 2004 Afghan constitution is ostensibly modelled on the US governmental system of a separation of powers, with the presidentially-led executive responsible to an independent and popularly-elected bicameral parliament. Read more…

Yoshihiko Noda’s vision for Japan

Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda, second from left, speaks to workers of the Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power plant while visiting the crippled plant in Okuma, northeastern Japan, for the first time since he took the office. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Ryo Sahashi, Kanagawa University and GMF

There is a strong tendency in Washington and other foreign capitals to believe that the Japanese politicians you know and that are practised in telling you what you want to hear are good, and that unfamiliar names are a bad sign for smooth international relations.

The foreign media in particular seems to dislike Japan’s new Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda’s ‘humble attitude’ (describing himself as a ‘loach fish’ during his campaign for the leadership) and portray him as someone without vision and leadership. Read more…

The lessons of Singapore’s presidential election

Supporters cheer at a stadium in Singapore after presidential candidate Tony Tan won the presidential election early on August 28, 2011. Tan, a veteran politician and banker, was declared the winner of Singapore's presidential election on August 28 after a recount gave him a razor-thin margin that exposed a sharply split electorate. (Photo: AAP)

Author: K Kesavapany, ISEAS

The results of Singapore’s 27 August Presidential Election were a cliff-hanger.

In the four-way contest, the government’s preferred candidate, former Deputy Prime Minister Tony Tan, won 35.2 per cent of the valid votes after a recount. Read more…

Singapore’s presidential election: The battle continues

Oresidential candidate Tony Tan greeting supporters during a lunchtime rally in Singapore AAP

Author: K Kesavapany, ISEAS

As Singaporeans go to the polls today to elect a new president, it is worth remembering there used to be a comfortable myth perpetuated about Singaporeans — this myth held them to be an apolitical people, conditioned by greed and fear to vote the People’s Action Party (PAP) into power, election after boring election.

Read more…

The return of Japan’s shadow shogun Ichiro Ozawa?

Despite losing in the Presidential race of 2010, Ichiro Ozawa (left) retains formidable influence within Japanese politics and may ultimately decide the coming contest. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Aurelia George Mulgan, UNSW Canberra

Diet politicians in Japan’s ruling party are reverting to form: they are consumed with the politics of power and position rather than with policy.

The last thing Japan needs at this time is more jockeying for political advantage among a group of would-be prime ministers. But that is what is occurring as the process of replacing Prime Minister Kan reaches its expected climax on the 29th of this month. Read more…

Bersih 2.0 rally in Malaysia stirs discontent with ruling party

A Malaysian activist from Coalition for Clean and Fair Elections (Bersih) tries to kick a tear gas grenade fired by police during a rally calling for electoral reforms in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, Saturday, July 9, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Ong Kian Ming, UCSI University

The heart of Kuala Lumpur is usually chock full of traffic on a weekend. But on Saturday 9 July downtown KL was eerily empty of cars.

Police presence, however, was very noticeable, in the form of roadblocks positioned at major roads leading into the city, fire trucks equipped with water cannons, and helicopters hovering overhead. Read more…

The next Democratic Party of Japan prime minister

Japanese Prime Minster Naoto Kan bows to the national flag before his press conference at his official residence in Tokyo, Friday, July 29, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Michael Cucek, MIT

On 27 July, the race to replace Naoto Kan as president of the Democratic Party of Japan, and consequently as prime minister, officially began.

First out of the blocks was former Minister of the Environment Sakihito Ozawa, who recently released a policy statement and a declaration of his candidacy for the presidency of the DPJ. Second among the potential candidates to semi-declare was Sumio Mabuchi, the former minister of transport. Read more…

Has Thailand’s election empowered ASEAN anew?

Supporters of Yingluck Shinawatra shout slogans as they know the Election Commission approved her at Puea Thai Party headquarter in Bangkok on July 19, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Ernie Bower, CSIS

Elections around Southeast Asia have assumed a new and empowering role in defining the region’s political outlook.

Emanating from Indonesia’s historic transition from autocracy to nascent if chaotic democracy, the people of ASEAN are using the ballot box to send strong messages. Read more…

Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra

Yingluck Shinawatra, opposition Puea Thai party candidate and sister of fugitive Thai ex-prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra, gives a traditional greeting next to a large portrait of herself during a press conference at her party headquarters in Bangkok on July 3, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Authors: Andrew Walker and Nicholas Farrelly, ANU

Thaksin Shinawatra — and the multi-pronged political, commercial and social movement that bears his long-term imprimatur — has shown that, when it comes to winning elections, he is Thailand’s best.

His sister, Yingluck, will become Thailand’s first female Prime Minister. Read more…