New Zealand: might 2012 be smoother?

A sign advertising the 2011 Rugby Worl Cup stands outside the destroyed Christchurch Cathedral in Christchurch, New Zealand, after the city was hit by a 6.3 magnitude earthquake on Feb. 22. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Robert Ayson, Victoria University of Wellington

Visitors to New Zealand during the uneventful general election in November 2011, which returned John Key’s National Party to office, would be forgiven for thinking things were running smoothly.

This was helped by the fact that a few weeks earlier, New Zealanders gained the greatest prize they could wish for. This was not a Nobel Prize for their leading scientists; nor a temporary seat on the UN Security Council, which Mr Key’s government wants to secure; nor the competent hosting of the Pacific Islands Forum in Auckland, which came and went without much trace. Read more…

Burma in 2011: contradictory impulses

Myanmar President Thein Sein, right, meets with U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton during a meeting in Naypyidaw, Myanmar Thursday. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Jacqueline Menager, ANU

Contradiction is a mainstay in Burmese life. In downtown Rangoon, a giant new Toshiba TV screen hangs over the street, while rickety cars and taxis from the 1970s whir past below. Crumbling colonial-era buildings are mixed with shiny new Chinese-funded monoliths.

But nowhere is the country’s inherent contradiction more apparent than in the developments of 2011. Primarily, the new parliament’s formation must be juxtaposed against resumed violence in border regions. And we must decide which of the two dynamics to take as the year’s prevailing reality. Read more…

Thailand: robust electoral politics but unstable democracy

The then opposition Puea Thai party candidate (now Prime-Minister of Thailand) Yingluck Shinawatra celebrates her victory at party headquarters in Bangkok. (Photo AAP/Nicolas Asfouri)

Author: Prajak Kongkirati, ANU

On the surface the general election of 3 July 2011 may look like any other Thai election, but both its timing and context set it apart as historically significant.

Incumbent Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva called for elections on 11 March 2011, even though his government had until the year’s end to finish its term. Read more…

Rethinking the ‘China model’

Workers carry red lanterns out from a workshop in a village in Taizhou, in Zhejiang province on 28 December 2011, as they prepare to meet orders from overseas Chinese companies ahead of the lunar new year celebrations. Chinese export growth is expected to halve in 2012 from this year as turmoil in Europe and the US hits demand for Chinese products, a senior government researcher said. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Shaun Breslin, University of Warwick and RIIA

The idea that there is a coherent and distinct ‘Chinese model’ of political economy has gained attention in recent years — especially as financial crisis elsewhere has undermined confidence in the (neo)liberal models often associated with Western interests and objectives.

To be sure, there are many in China and elsewhere who argue the crisis has actually highlighted key defects in China’s development model.

Read more…

Republican leadership in Australia

Queen Elizabeth (right) looks at smiling Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard during a banquet dinner as part of the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting (CHOGM) in Perth on Friday, 28 October 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: John Warhurst, ANU

The debate as to whether Australia should become a republic or remain a constitutional monarchy is at a paradoxical stage.

A majority of leading Australians in the private and public sectors support the change from a constitutional monarchy under the British crown to an Australian head of state. But many citizens remain undecided, after rejecting this constitutional change by 55 per cent to 45 per cent at a national referendum in 1999. Read more…

The Reserve Bank of India’s lost policy lever

Indian laborers work at a construction site on the outskirts of New Delhi, India. High inflation has weakened demand and prompted the central bank to hike rates thirteen times over the last 18 months, crimping growth as a dour global economy squeezes credit and exports. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Renu Kohli, ICRIER

The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) hands-off exchange rate strategy has resulted in a missed opportunity to curtail inflation.

Intervention in the foreign exchange market would have helped counter inflation; but the RBI has failed to grasp such a dexterous policy tool.  Read more…

Authoritarianism not key to China’s economic success

People walk outside a soon to open store in Beijing, China, 18 November 2011. The Chinese government has played an important role in promoting the country's economic growth, but the root of this contribution is not in authoritarianism. The Chinese economy is still growing strong despite it growing at a slightly slower pace as a result of policies put in place to balance the country's economic growth while combating rising inflation. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Yao Yang, Peking University

International observers frequently link China’s economic success to authoritarianism.

And when it comes to the comparison between China and Western countries, the issue is often framed by the contrast between the Beijing Consensus on the role of government intervention and the Washington Consensus on the role of the free market. Read more…

China’s role in global and regional governance architecture

A line of container trucks queue at the Port of Qingdao, eastern China's Shandong province, 10 May 2010. China posted a trade surplus of 1.68 billion US dollars (1.28 billion euro) in April, down 87 per cent from a year earlier, the General Administration of Customs (GAC) said. China's exports in April totaled 119.92 billion US dollars (91.94 billion euro), up 30.5 per cent from a year ago and 6.3 per cent from March while imports reached 118.24 billion US dollars (90.66 billion euro), up 49.7 per cent year on year, according to the GAC figures. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Sun Xuegong, NDRC

Integration in the regional and global economies is an important aspect of China’s rapid rise.

China’s interests now lie well beyond its border and extend around the globe. This reality has prompted China to actively engage in regional and global architecture to assure that its rise continues peacefully. Read more…

Indonesia’s cabinet reshuffle: how low can it go?

This handout photo received and taken on 19 October 2011 by the presidential office shows Indonesia President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono (R) swearing in his new cabinet ministers at the State Palace in Jakarta after he reshuffled his cabinet. (Photo: AAP)

Authors: Maria Monica Wihardja and Josef Kristiadi, CSIS, Jakarta

The Indonesian cabinet reshuffle of 18 October has ended in an anti-climax.

The Indonesian people — and even their ministers — were hoping for a more effective cabinet to support Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono’s administration: they were instead left shocked and clueless about the criteria on which he based his decisions. Read more…