Asia, Europe and regional cooperation in 2012

US President Barack Obama talks with China's Premier Wen Jiabao as they walk together for a family photo at the East Asia Summit Gala dinner in Nusa Dua, on the island of Bali, Indonesia., 18 Nov 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Peter Drysdale, Editor, East Asia Forum

As Europe continues its desperate struggle to salvage the euro and monetary union, the spotlight of regional cooperation is shifting to Asia.

In December, European leaders retro-fitted the union with fiscal disciplines which impose binding limits on national budgets and borrowing. All but Britain opted in; the UK, Prime Minister David Cameron argued, was not prepared to yield such fiscal sovereignty. Read more…

Stop fretting about Beijing as a global policeman

Chinese peacekeepers prepare to depart for their United Nations mission to Sudan and will form China's second batch of peacekeepers sent to Sudan to replace an earlier team sent last May. (photo: AAP/EyePress)

Authors: Jonas Parello-Plesner and Parag Khanna, ECFR

Last year proved a tipping point for China’s approach to the world. The confluence of Europe’s debt crisis and America’s contracting defence budget has created rising expectations that China will shoulder ever greater power burdens for international stability.

No longer can it keep a low profile in international strategic and economic affairs. Could it join America as a world policeman sooner than expected? Read more…

WTO ministerial conference: time for a new world trade strategy

World Trade Organization Director General Pascal Lamy speaks during the 8th Ministerial Conference of the WTO in Switzerland 16 Dec. 2011

Author: Christopher Findlay, University of Adelaide

The weather was awful outside the WTO Ministerial Conference in Geneva last week, but there was some sunshine within the convention centre.

Russia acceded as a member, along with Samoa, Montenegro and Vanuatu (the club still attracts new members, and as one minister said: ‘as far as I know, nobody has asked to leave’). Read more…

Russia and APEC 2012: imaginary engagement?

Delegates attend the opening of a World Trade Organisation ministerial conference on 15 Dec. 2011 in Geneva. The Russian bid to join the WTO took centre stage at the ministerial conference, amid morose prospects for a free trade pact. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Kirill Muradov, HSE

With the conclusion of the APEC meetings in Honolulu in November, another yearly cycle is about to draw to a close.

Soon all eyes will turn to Russia as the next host, with the 2012 summit scheduled for early September in Vladivostok. Leading APEC will be Russia’s most significant multilateral undertaking since hosting the G8 in 2006. Observers are curious to see what a Russian agenda will entail and what goals will be set for APEC in 2012. Adding to this significance, APEC is the first — and only — major Asia Pacific forum where Russia can hold the chair. Read more…

If Putin becomes president (again): implications for Asia

Russian Prime Minister Vladimir Putin (R) speaks with employees of the Kalinin atomic power plant near Udomlya in the Tver region, on 12 December 2011. Putin has recently announced his candidacy for the next Russian Presidential election.

Author: Shigeki Hakamada, Aoyama Gakuin University

Still months out from Russia’s March 2012 presidential election and it is virtually certain that Vladimir Putin will return to the presidency.

Significantly for Asia, Putin called for the creation of a Eurasian Union shortly after announcing his intention to run. The plan, unveiled in a newspaper article on 4 October, is to achieve EU-style economic integration based on Russia’s customs union with Kazakhstan and Belarus that would eventually encompass the whole Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). Read more…

China, economic containment and the TPP

United States President Barack Obama meets Chinese President Hu Jintao at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) held at the Hale Koa Hotel in Honolulu, Hawaii, 12 November 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Peter Drysdale, Editor, East Asia Forum

In Washington and Beijing last week there were important meetings that are likely to be influential in where the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) negotiations on regional trade arrangements lead down the track.

In Washington, the US administration called in ambassadors from the eight negotiating partners to up the ante on an early deal. Read more…

Trans-Pacific Partnership: a real hope

Japan Obama Asia APEC Summit

Author: Hubert Wu, University of Melbourne

It is wrong to assess the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPP) against its short-term benefits — these may very well be non-existent. Instead, the deal’s true value hinges upon its chances of a medium-term expansion into Asia.

The TPP is an ambitious regional trade agreement under negotiation between ten economies: Australia, Brunei, Chile, Malaysia, New Zealand, Peru, Singapore, the US, Vietnam and as of early November, Japan. The Agreement has concluded its ninth round of negotiations in Lima, Peru, with an unofficial round also occurring recently at the 2011 APEC summit in Hawaii.

Read more…

The euro crisis: lessons for East Asia

What can asian integration learn from the Euro crisis? Would an Asia-wide currency linkage be a sensible idea? (Photo: AAP)

Author: Stephen Grenville, Lowy Institute

Only a few years ago, the European common-currency arrangements were held up as a possible model for Asia.

With the euro under serious threat, we do not hear much about this now, but the current mess in Europe could well contain a number of lessons for Asia. Read more…

The European crisis and the G20 Summit

On 03 and 04 November 2011, the heads of state of the leading world economies met for this year

Author: Jacob Kierkegaard, PIIE

The G20 Summit in Cannes probably made its most important contribution to global financial stability and economic growth before it even commenced.

The summit, held 3–4 November, became a deadline for European leaders to deal decisively with the economic and financial crises in the euro zone. Read more…

Trade regionalism in Asia: new issues and old

A worker walks on the scaffoldings built at a construction site in front of an apartment building in Beijing, China, Tuesday, 22 Nov 2011. The World Bank held its East Asian growth forecast steady but warned of growing risks including the European sovereign debt crisis and uncertainty about Thai manufacturing recovery from widespread flooding. Growth in the East Asian economic linchpin, China, is expected to ease to 9.1 percent this year and 8.4 percent in 2012 after a searing 10.4 percent growth in 2010. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Andrew Elek, ANU

A revolution in information and communications technology since the 1990s has changed the nature of production, international commerce and the importance of integration.

Eager to engage their economies in global production networks, governments have moved unilaterally to lift most tariff and other policy barriers which inhibit trade at the border. Read more…

Asian integration and geopolitics

A Pakistani labourer carries an empty fruit basket in Lahore on November 12, 2011. Pakistan removed restrictions on the import of 12 goods from India as part of measures to normalise trade between the nuclear-armed rivals. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Shiro Armstrong, ANU

East Asia’s pursuit of policy strategies of openness to trade and investment have resulted in its being economically one of the world’s most internationally-integrated regions — both intraregionally and towards the rest of the world.

Read more…

The United States and the East Asia Summit: a new beginning?

US President Barack Obama (R) listens as Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (L) speaks during their meeting on the sidelines of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and East Asia summits in Bali, on November 19, 2011. Obama held unscheduled talks with Premier Wen after a week of sharp exchanges between the two nations.

Authors: David Capie, Victoria University; and Amitav Acharya, American University

This week President Obama will join seventeen other Asian leaders in Bali for the Sixth East Asia Summit (EAS).

With a tough economy at home and the decision of the Congressional ‘super-committee’ on the federal budget only days away, this is hardly a good time for a US president to be out of the country. Obama’s decision to participate in the EAS for the first time in Bali is therefore a powerful symbol of a shift in American policy towards Asia. It also says much about the evolving nature of regional cooperation. Read more…

Asia’s economic integration: a driver for development

Posing for a family photo during the APEC summit in Honolulu, Hawaii, USA. Asia Pacific leaders agreed measures designed to create jobs and liberalise regional trade following talks hosted by US President Barack Obama. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Ram Upendra Das, New Delhi

Asian regional integration initiatives are rich in plans for trade liberalisation and investment cooperation agreements, but they  have rarely been contextualised in terms of development goals like creating employment and reducing poverty.

This is possibly due to a lack of proper understanding of the ways in which regional trade and investment integration could promote development outcomes. Read more…

Asian financial integration: an unfinished agenda

People exchange US dollar and Myanmar currency at a black market in Yangon, Myanmar, 25 August 2011. Report state that Myanmar currency, the Kyats, is powering ahead of it peers in Asia and the currency's strength is hurting the economy. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Shinji Takagi, Osaka University

Financial integration can be defined in several ways. But the only relevant definition, in the context of ongoing policy debate in Asia, is in terms of bilateral financial links analogous to the way trade integration is typically defined.

No other definition would highlight the asymmetry between trade and finance in Asia. Read more…