Asian security strategy: one hand not clapping

Philippine marines storm a beach with their counterpart from the US Marines Battalion Landing Team, 2nd Battalion, 7th Marines of the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit based in Okinawa, Japan, during the annual joint military exercise at San Antonio, Zambales province northwest of Manila, Philippines on 23 October 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Peter Drysdale, Editor, East Asia Forum

The whirlwind visit of President Barack Obama to Australia on the way to the East Asia Summit in Indonesia last November, many believe, forever changed the Asia Pacific strategic landscape with a re-assertion of American primacy and power in Asia.

What was the thinking behind the moves that Obama announced in Canberra and how will it shape Southeast Asia’s strategic future? Read more…

Kim Jong-un’s regime: facing up to domestic challenges, China and the US

In this undated photo released by the Korean Central News Agency and Kim Jong-un waves at soldiers while inspecting a military unit. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Wei Zhijiang, Sun Yat-sen University

After the death of Kim Jong-il in December, Kim Jong-un has officially become the supreme leader of North Korea and the supreme commander of the Korean People’s Army.

This is in addition to his position as the Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission of the Korean Workers’ Party, which was announced in September 2010. Read more…

Pakistan: a tumultuous economy and divided politics

A Pakistani sweets vendor waits for customers at a roadside of Islamabad on 17 January 2012. For the fourth year in a row, GDP growth in 2011−12 will fall below its long-term growth rate. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Ishrat Husain, IBA, Karachi

Pakistan’s economy remained sluggish in 2011 due to domestic political instability, energy shortages, deteriorating Pakistan-US relations, global climate change and internal security concerns.

For the fourth year in a row, GDP growth in 2011-12 will fall below its long-term growth rate. Read more…

No resolution to conflict in southern Thailand

A group of Thai Muslims praying besides 22 unidentified dead bodies protestors who died after Tak Bai riot in Narathiwat province southern Thailand. An estimated 1,000 people have died in incidents in the so-called deep South of Thailand, in violence between Muslims and Buddhists. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Anders Engvall, Stockholm School of Economics

On the evening of 25 October 2011 the southern Thai town of Yala was shaken by a string of 30 explosions that caused great terror and loss of life. The following day the neighbouring province of Narathiwat saw a similar wave of attacks.

This latest bombing campaign was a stark reminder from southern Thailand’s insurgency movement of the seventh anniversary of the Tak Bai massacre. Read more…

Local trends in Indonesian terrorism

Indonesian police chief General Timur Pradopo (top R) inspects Kopassus troops, special forces of the Indonesian army, during the opening ceremony of a joint anti-terror drill at the national police special operations force headquarters in Kelapa Dua, Depok-West Java, on 25 October 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Authors: Greg Fealy and Sally White, ANU

Australia’s first academic conference on Indonesian terrorism was held at the Australian National University (ANU) early in December.

Entitled ‘Indonesian Terrorism in a Global Context’, the conference brought together researchers specialising in the study of Indonesia’s jihadists and scholars working on global trends in terrorism. Read more…

Stop fretting about Beijing as a global policeman

Chinese peacekeepers prepare to depart for their United Nations mission to Sudan and will form China's second batch of peacekeepers sent to Sudan to replace an earlier team sent last May. (photo: AAP/EyePress)

Authors: Jonas Parello-Plesner and Parag Khanna, ECFR

Last year proved a tipping point for China’s approach to the world. The confluence of Europe’s debt crisis and America’s contracting defence budget has created rising expectations that China will shoulder ever greater power burdens for international stability.

No longer can it keep a low profile in international strategic and economic affairs. Could it join America as a world policeman sooner than expected? Read more…

US, China and Australia’s Asian century: a view on Hugh White’s argument

An Australian soldier (second from left) helps explain to US troops Australian fighting procedures while in training at Robertson Barracks in Darwin, Thursday, 1 Dec. 2011. There are plans for the number of US marines based in the city to rise to 2500 by 2017. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Brad Glosserman, CSIS, Washington DC

‘No, thanks’.

That, in summary, is Hugh White’s response to the recent announcement that the US would be sending marines on permanent rotation to Darwin.

White is Professor of Strategic Studies at the ANU, one of Asia’s most distinguished strategists, and a former Australian deputy secretary of defence. And he has been making the case for strategic reorientation in Canberra for a couple of years now. Read more…

Obama and Australia’s vision of Asia’s future

President Barack Obama waves as he boards Air Force One at Hickam Air Force Base in Honolulu, Tuesday, 15 Nov. 2011, as he travels to Canberra, Australia. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Hugh White, ANU

As China’s power grows, the Asia we have known is passing into history, and a new and very different Asia is taking shape.

Barack Obama’s visit is a key moment in that transformation, because he is coming here to promote America’s view of how the new Asia should work. Read more…

The West’s reaction to Russia−North Korea summit

A group of Russian women welcomes visiting North Korean leader Kim Jong-il at the Bureya Station in Russia's Eastern Siberia on 21 August. The (North) Korean Central News Agency released the photo on Monday, 29 Aug 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Alexander Vorontsov, RAS

The Ulan-Ude summit on 24 August 2011 highlighted Russia and North Korea’s commitment to overcoming the Korean Peninsula nuclear problem — and they must be credited with considerable success.

Kim Jong-il confirmed that North Korea is ready to return to the Six-Party Talks without any preconditions, and both leaders agreed to advance with the construction of a gas pipeline linking Russia and South Korea via North Korea. Read more…

Russia and the DPRK: cooperation in Ulan-Ude

Russian President Dmitry Medvedev and North Korean leader Kim Jong-il meet at Sosnovy Bor military garrison in Zaigrayevsky district outside Ulan-Ude in Buryatia, eastern Siberia, Russia, 24 August 2011. Russian Defence Minister Anatoly Serdyukov is seen back right. The leaders discussed prospects for the implementation of tripartite economic projects involving Russia, North Korea, and South Korea, as well as economic aid and nuclear disarmament. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Sergei Sevastianov, VSUES

On 24 August, North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong-il, met with President Medvedev during a highly-anticipated visit to Russia.

And it would seem that the meeting in Ulan-Ude may have generated positive changes for security and economic development on the Korean Peninsula — and even the rest of Northeast Asia. Read more…

Japan’s fighter jets: a tussle between technology and diplomacy

Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda inspects troops during a review ceremony at the Japanese Self-Defense Force's Hyakuri air base at Omitama in Ibaraki prefecture on October 16, 2011. The ceremony, which is held every three years and not open to the public, comes one week after a fuel tank and other parts dropped from a Japanese F-15 fighter jet landing close to a residential area. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Jithin S. George, National Maritime Foundation

Japan received bids from Boeing, Lockheed Martin and BAE Systems to replace its outdated F-4 fighter jets on 27 September 2011, as part of a plan to buy 40–50 fighter jets in a deal worth more than US$6 billion.

Japan intends to add the new aircraft to its fleet by 2016. Read more…

Sri Lanka’s continued militarisation

An elderly Sri Lankan ethnic Tamil man sits against a wall pasted with election propaganda of Sri Lankan president Mahinda Rajapaksa ruling party in Jaffna, Sri Lanka. The road blocks have been dismantled, the sandbags removed, and Sri Lanka is again a palm-fringed tourist paradise, the government says. But for ethnic Tamils living in the former war zone in the north, it is still a hell of haunted memories, military occupation and missing loved ones. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Gibson Bateman, New York

For the Tamil people of Sri Lanka’s north and east, the end to conflict has not engendered the positive changes one might have hoped for.

When President Mahinda Rajapaksa’s government achieved victory over the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) in May 2009, most of the LTTE leadership was killed. Read more…

India and Bangladesh: calculus of territorial dispute settlement

Indian Border Security Force (BSF) soldier patrol along the India-Bangladesh international border at Fulbari BOP on the outskirts of Siliguri on 5 November, 2010. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Sourabh Gupta, Samuels International

On 7 September 2011 in Dacca, the prime ministers of India and Bangladesh signed a landmark protocol to their 1974 Land Boundary Agreement, providing for final settlement of their long-pending boundary issues.

Given that instances of territorial dispute settlement in this sovereignty-conscious region have been few and far between, this exercise in statesmanship is both commendable and long overdue. Read more…

Pyongyang looks for the next payoff

North Korean Premier Choe Yong-rim (R) is accompanied by Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao at a welcoming ceremony at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing, China 26 September 2011. The visit comes at a time when China is trying to revive the six party talks on nuclear issues on the Korean peninsula and to bolster economic development in the isolated neighbouring state. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Andrei Lankov, Kookmin University

North and South Korea held talks in Beijing last week, which means the next episode of the endless diplomatic soap that is the Six-Party Talks is approaching.

The official goal of these talks is North Korean denuclearisation. Read more…