Diplomatic currents running strong in the South China Sea

The aircraft carrier Varyag being renovated at a shipyard in Dalian city, China 19 March 2012. The Chinese navy will deploy it in the increasingly political arena of the South China Sea, the Shanghai Daily newspaper reported. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Carlyle A. Thayer, UNSW Canberra

Chinese civilian maritime surveillance vessels carried out a number of aggressive activities in parts of the South China Sea claimed by the Philippines and Vietnam in early 2011, raising regional tensions and sparking concern in the US and throughout the region about maritime security. 

This concern now seems largely abated, after diplomatic efforts produced a somewhat unexpected positive development. Read more…

Dokdo still limits Tokyo and Seoul’s strategic rapprochement

Fighters from the South Korean Air Force make a surveillance flight over the Dokdo Islets in the Sea of Japan. Both South Korea and Japan claim sovereignty over the islets. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Jonathan Berkshire Miller, The Diplomat

The South Korean government indicated last year that it intends to construct a significant naval base on Ulleung Island in the Sea of Japan.

The Ministry of Defence announced that it will team up with the Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs to build the complex and establish a port in Ulleung capable not only of maritime defence but also of force projection. Read more…

Indian grand strategy: nonalignment redux?

Brazilian President Dilma Rousseff is received by Indian Minister of State for External Affairs Preneet Kaur in New Delhi on 27 March 2012 ahead of the latest BRICS summit. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Rajesh Basrur, RSIS   

Though India is widely regarded as a ‘rising power’, the government has not publicly set out its grand strategy or the direction it is taking.

There is still much debate on critical issues such as the viability of its liberal economic model and its relationship with the United States.  Read more…

India’s foreign policy posture

Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and his wife Gursharan Kaur visit the National Cemetery in Seoul on 25 March 2012 ahead of the 2012 Seoul Nuclear Security Summit. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Peter Drysdale, Editor, East Asia Forum

With all the focus on the transition of power between China and the United States in the Asian Century, too little attention is given to how India might handle its growing weight in the world.

India is more often than not taken for granted, seen as a pawn in the growing power game between America and China, or so pre-occupied within its region as to stunt its potential global role. Read more…

The DPRK, the nuclear issue and the international community

Kim Jong un, successor to the late North Korean leader Kim Jong il (Photo: AAP)

Author: Colin McAskill, London

The death of Kim Jong-Il, and the dynastic succession of his youngest son Kim Jong-Un, brings negotiations over the DPRK’s nuclear program and objectives full circle.

When Kim Jong-Il succeeded his father there was then, just as now, no agreement in place that brought the DPRK’s nuclear programs and future ambitions under the auspices and supervision of any international nuclear monitoring authority.

Read more…

Australia and Vietnam deepen their strategic relationship

Visiting Australian Governor General Quentin Alice Louise Bryce (R) shakes hands with Vietnamese President Nguyen Minh Triet during a welcoming ceremony at the presidential palace in Hanoi on May 9, 2011.  (Photo: AAP)

Author: Le Hong Hiep, Vietnam National University

The first Australia–Vietnam Joint Foreign Affairs Defence Strategic Dialogue was held in Canberra on 21 February 2012.

While this is evidence of the increasing importance the two countries accord each other as regional partners, the dialogue is also a useful mechanism for Australia and Vietnam to boost mutual understanding and trust, and to deepen cooperation for common strategic interests, regional peace and stability. Read more…

The Asian Century: more than economics and security

United Nation Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon greets Myanmar President Thein Sein on the sidelines of the East Asia Summit in Bali, Indonesia, 19 November 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Jiemian Yang, SIIS

The Asian Century, or Pacific Century, has become a catchphrase that places great emphasis on economic dynamism and political power shifts.

But the cultural and intellectual aspects of the Asian Century have somewhat been neglected. Read more…

South Korea: a return to the Sunshine Policy could prove dangerous

Young, new, North Korean leader Kim Jong-un poses with sailors as he inspects Korean People's Army Navy Unit 123. (Photo: AAP)

Author: John Hemmings, CSIS, Honolulu

Some have speculated that South Korea’s electorate, unhappy with Lee Myung-bak’s handling of relations with North Korea, wants a return to Kim Dae-jung and Roh Moo-hyun’s liberal policies — and with them, the Sunshine Policy, or greater engagement with Pyongyang.

With a new, young leader in power in North Korea, it would seem the right time to try something different — a new approach for a new era. Read more…

The Macau Forum: a Chinese diplomatic success

Tourists walk past the remains of the 17th Century cathedral of St. Paul in Macau on 1 March 2012. The economy of Macau, a former Portugese colony, is heavily dependent on tourism and gambling. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Loro Horta, NPS

After nearly 500 years of Portuguese rule, Macau was returned to China in 1999.

While several diplomats and intellectuals from the former colonial power debated the future of Sino-Portuguese ties and Lisbon’s relation to its former enclave, most believed there was very little Portugal could do to retain its influence in the territory — if they gave the topic much thought at all.

Read more…

Australia–India relations and the economy of ideas

Bharatiya Janata Party protesters burn a replica Australian flag in Amritsar in June 2009, during a protest against attacks on Indian students in Australia: corrective measures in Australian education policy are needed to rebuild confidence after the student-safety crisis. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Kama Maclean, UNSW

At the Sydney Cricket Ground on 5 January 2012, Australian Prime Minister Julia Gillard spoke confidently about the upswing in Australia–India relations — which had been strained since the violent attacks on Indian students in 2009 — citing cricket as the ‘common language’ of the relationship.

In the closing days of 2011, Gillard had also helped to remove an important irritant in the bilateral relationship as she championed and pushed through a change to Australian Labor Party policy, which had precluded the sale of uranium to India.

Read more…

Australia’s new foreign minister

Former NSW premier Bob Carr speaking at a press conference with Prime Minister Julia Gillard in Canberra March. 2, 2012. Ms Gillard announced that Mr Carr would take the vacant senate seat and become foreign minister of Australia. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Justin Li, ICE

Australia has a new foreign minister, Bob Carr, a former premier of New South Wales and a senior figure in Australian Labor politics, after the resignation of former Prime Minister Kevin Rudd from the post in his spectacularly unsuccessful bid to challenge the current prime minister, Julia Gillard.

In an unusual route to the post, Mr Carr is coming from outside federal Australian Parliament to take up a Senate seat by appointment after the resignation of one of Gillard’s supporters, as is the convention for filling mid-term vacancies in the Australian Senate. Read more…

ASEAN centrality: a year of big power transitions

Foreign ministers and government officials attend the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) Regional Forum in Nusa Dua, Indonesia on 23 July 2011. Clinton issued a warning on 23 July over tensions in the South China Sea while cautiously welcoming progress in efforts to restart North Korean nuclear talks. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Benjamin Ho, RSIS

Much has been made of Asia’s rise to global prominence and the continent’s increasingly important role in global politics.

But what does this mean for ASEAN, whose regional presence has also received growing attention from the global community of late? Read more…

An assertive China rattles the region

A Chinese paramilitary officer stands beneath a portrait of the late Chinese chairman Mao Zedong as military talks between China and the US opened in Beijing on 7 December 2011. Chinese and US defence officials opened military talks in Beijing after ties were strained by American arms sales to Taiwan and a planned US troop deployment in Australia. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Nick Bisley, La Trobe University

Since the mid 1990s China has pursued a predominantly cautious approach to East Asia: it normalised relations with virtually all its neighbours, joined the region’s multilateral institutions and generally got on with being an ordinary member of Asia’s international society.

During this time, China’s approach largely conformed with Deng Xiaoping’s dictum to calmly bide one’s time and carefully hide one’s power and ambition. But since late 2009 China’s approach to its regional relations has undoubtedly become more assertive. Read more…