ASEAN needs to re-think its approach to preventive diplomacy

The Philippines' Ambassador Enrique A. Manalo speaks during the opening of the 8th Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) regional forum meeting on maritime security in Manila, Philippines, 06 April 2016. (Photo: AAP).

Authors: J. Berkshire Miller, CSIS; Daryl Morini, ASPI; Jeffrey Ordaniel, National Graduate Institute for Policy Studies; and Meicen Sun, MIT

Over 20 years ago, the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) was founded to address highly sensitive and contentious political and security issues in Asia. Its objective was to develop confidence-building measures and, in time, preventive diplomacy with an ultimate goal of resolving conflicts in the region.

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What might a new Asian order look like?

US President Barack Obama, Chinese President Xi Jinping, Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and other world leaders pose for a photograph at the end of the Nuclear Security Summit (NSS) in Washington, DC, United States, 1 April 2016. (Photo: AAP).

Authors: Robert A. Manning, Atlantic Council, and Jim Przystup, National Defense University

In numerous essays, Hugh White has argued that the US-led Asia Pacific order, which he rightly views as a source of peace and growing prosperity over the past seventy years, is increasingly outmoded. Read more…

Why China should join the INF Treaty

Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) delegates arrive at the Great Hall of the People before a plenary session of the National People's Congress (NPC) in Beijing, Sunday, March 13, 2016. (Photo: AAP).

Authors: Petr Suchy, Masaryk University, and Bradley A. Thayer, University of Iceland

Russia’s apparent and recent violation of the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Force (INF) Treaty suggests it may be time for Russia and the United States to make the Treaty multilateral — and, most importantly, include China.

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China’s its own worst enemy in regional relations

A view of the dam at the Jinghong Hydropower Station on the Lancang River, the Chinese section of the Mekong River, in Jinghong city, Yunnan province, 20 May 2013. (Photo: AAP).

Author: Thitinan Pongsudhirak, Chulalongkorn University

China’s pattern of regional conduct has come increasingly into focus in recent times. Its behaviour is much less about maintaining the ‘status quo’, and much more about revising the established dynamics and contours in the region to its preferences. Read more…

Sanctions against North Korea: a hammer with no nails

Korean People's Army Lt. Col. Nam Dong Ho points to a map showing the line which separates the two Koreas in Panmunjom at the Demilitarized Zone (DMZ) on 22 February 2016, in Panmunjom, North Korea. (Photo: AAP).

Author: Joseph M. DeThomas, Pennsylvania State University

North Korea’s recent nuclear and long-range rocket tests appear to have created a policy tipping point. Opinion in the United States, South Korea and Japan has shifted away from a policy of ‘strategic patience’ towards one that employs additional sanctions to compel North Korea to reverse its nuclear weapons and missile programs. But we shouldn’t expect too much in terms of concrete results.

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Japan’s vision for the East Asian security order

US Navy Admiral Harry B. Harris Jr., commander of the United States Pacific Command, with Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe during a meeting in Tokyo on 16 February 2016. (Photo: AAP).

Author: Ryo Sahashi, Kanagawa University

The regional order in East Asia is in flux. The relative decline of US power in Asia has led to new challenges. The principles, rules, norms and methods for managing the international agenda are being questioned. The willingness of the United States to maintain an active role in East Asia, alongside the behaviour of China and key groupings such as ASEAN will define the future of the region. Read more…

Don’t bet on big role for India in regional security

French President Francois Hollande, flanked by Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Indian President Pranab Mukherjee, waves to the media at a reception in New Delhi, India. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Ajai Sahni, the Institute for Conflict Management

Is India emerging as a great power? French President François Hollande’s recent trip to India included a joint statement with Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, which focused on security cooperation. This encouraged some speculative enthusiasm regarding India’s ‘widening role’ in Asia’s security.

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