Diplomatic currents running strong in the South China Sea

The aircraft carrier Varyag being renovated at a shipyard in Dalian city, China 19 March 2012. The Chinese navy will deploy it in the increasingly political arena of the South China Sea, the Shanghai Daily newspaper reported. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Carlyle A. Thayer, UNSW Canberra

Chinese civilian maritime surveillance vessels carried out a number of aggressive activities in parts of the South China Sea claimed by the Philippines and Vietnam in early 2011, raising regional tensions and sparking concern in the US and throughout the region about maritime security. 

This concern now seems largely abated, after diplomatic efforts produced a somewhat unexpected positive development. Read more…

Rising tensions in the South China Sea

Filipino protesters display their placards during a rally outside the Chinese consular office in Manila. The protesters condemned the Chinese military incursions into the West Philippine Sea even as they called for a peaceful resolution. The US supports the Philippines in its claim to certain areas in the disputed Spratly Islands. The disputed area is believed to be rich in oil, mineral and marine resources. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Vikram Nehru, Carnegie Endowment

Tensions continue to rise in the South China Sea following the Obama administration’s foreign policy ‘pivot’ toward Asia late last year.

There are many reasons for the pivot, but a principal motivation was to protect the freedom of navigation in the Malacca Straits and the South China Sea. Read more…

International financial crises and the ASEAN economies

Public road infrastructure and building construction rise up at Indonesia's capital city of Jakarta on December 12, 2011. A week earlier The Asian Development Bank trimmed its 2012 growth forecast for emerging East Asian economies as the eurozone turmoil threatens to drag the global economy back into crisis. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Arief Ramayandi, ADB

The slow resolution of the European debt crisis has evolved into a liquidity problem which threatens the global financial system.

And these long-drawn-out efforts to address the sovereign debt problems have heightened uncertainties about resolving the crisis and induced speculative activities, threatening the survival of many European banks. Read more…

The South China Sea dispute: a legal solution needed

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao, Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda and South Korean President Lee Myung-bak during the ASEAN Plus Three Summit on 18 November, 2011. Jiabao warned against outside interference over the South China Sea dispute, in a challenge to Washington which wants to broach the issue at an Asian summit. (Photo: APP)

Author: John Hemmings, CSIS, Honolulu

At both the APEC and ASEAN summits, attempts were made to deal with the building impasse over the South China Sea issue.

Tensions over the region have grown steadily since 2009, after China, Vietnam and Malaysia submitted their respective claims under the UN Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS). China’s naval exercises in the region and apparent willingness to showcase its military capabilities in favour of its claims have also exacerbated these tensions. Read more…

China’s marine economy

Various cargo ships and tugboats make their way down the mighty Yangtze River towards the sea, from Nanjing, capital of eastern China's Jiangsu province, 30 October 2005. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Liu Shuguang, Ocean University of China

China’s central government approved Guangdong Province’s plan to build a national-level marine economic-development zone on 20 July, establishing a clear trend in this direction.

Guangdong’s is the third plan approved so far this year, following those for Shandong and Zhejiang. Read more…

Poverty and growth in the Philippines

Members of SWAT team armed with rifles dismantle a barricade set up by residents who blocked anti-riot policemen from escorting a demolition team to their homes during a demolition of informal settlers homes in a squatter area in Manila on 31 August, 2011

Authors: Celia Reyes and Aubrey Tabuga, PIDS

Despite the Philippine economy having enjoyed one of its best growth periods in recent years, the poverty rate continues to rise, putting a strain on achieving the Millennium Development Goal targets the country has vowed to achieve come 2015.

Inequitable growth across sectors and geographical units combined with various natural and man-made crises have produced some damaging results. Likewise, poverty-reduction programs designed without taking into account the characteristics of poverty have not helped. Read more…

ASEAN’s talk shop function and US engagement

The recent series of ASEAN foreign ministers’ meetings, including the ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF) held in Bali last month, proved that ASEAN’s talk shop function is still of some value. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Takashi Terada, Waseda University

ASEAN’s function is often described as being limited to a ‘talk shop’ that merely provides venues where ministers and leaders from larger states join together to exchange views on regional security and economic issues.

So long as the so-called ‘ASEAN Way’ — which informally stipulates non-intervention, non-binding and consensus-based decision-making approaches to regional cooperation — is maintained, ASEAN’s major role will not go beyond hosting the ‘talk shop’. Yet the talk shop’s value could be enhanced if delegates discussed the hard issues, regardless of whether any binding obligations ensued. Read more…

South China Sea developments at the ASEAN Regional Forum

Foreign Ministers and Government Officials attend the ASEAN Regional Forum in Nusa Dua on Bali on July 23, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Daljit Singh, ISEAS

The outcome of discussions on the South China Sea issue at the 18th ARF meeting in Bali on 23 July and the preceding officials’ meetings was positive.

Importantly, ASEAN and China agreed on guidelines to implement the 2002 Declaration on the Conduct (DoC) of Parties in the South China Sea. Read more…

China and the South China Sea: Time for a code of conduct?

A destroyer of the Chinese Navy in the South China Sea Fleet fires a missile during a training in South China Sea Saturday. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Aileen S.P. Baviera, RSIS

In the last several months, a number of incidents occurred that highlight what appears to be a growing willingness on the part of China to use its armed strength to pressure and influence rival claimants, particularly the Philippines and Vietnam, in the disputed South China Sea.

In February, there were reported incidents of Filipino fishermen being threatened and fired on by Chinese vessels. On 2 March 2011, two Chinese patrol boats confronted a Philippine oil exploration vessel, MV Veritas Voyager, and ordered it to cease activities in the Reed Bank area, which they said was under Chinese jurisdiction. Read more…

Can Indonesia mediate the South China Sea dispute?

A Philippine naval officer stands on guard before a US-Philippine joint naval military exercise near the disputed Spratly islands on June 28, 2011. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Fenna Egberink, the Netherlands

Tensions over the overlapping claims in the South China Sea (SCS) have mounted in the past months, with hostilities accelerating since the beginning of June.

The row between China, Vietnam and the Philippines has urged current ASEAN chair, Indonesia, to step up. Read more…

Taiwan on the fence as South China Sea tensions mount

The South China Sea during a Chinese naval exercise. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Joel Atkinson, Monash University

The Asia Pacific is in muted tumult. China has seized on perceived changing regional power equations following the financial crisis and attendant economic stagnation in the US, and adopted a harsher and more insisting tone over its interests.

Taken aback, many regional countries have come to view China in a new, more ominous, light and have moved to embrace (or re-embrace) the US. Read more…

Is the South China Sea a new ‘Dangerous Ground’ for US-China rivalry?

Chinese Defence Minister Liang Guanglie (2nd-L) reviews honour guard at Manila's military headquarters amid tensions over alleged incursions of Chinese vessels and planes in the disputed Spratly islands in the South China Sea. (Photo: AAP)

Author: Chengxin Pan, Deakin University

On British imperial navigational charts, much of the area now commonly known as the South China Sea was called ‘Dangerous Ground’, its small islands, rocks, reefs and low-tide elevations once seen as mere navigational hazards, best avoided.

Now boasting some of the busiest shipping lanes in the world, this region — dubbed by some as ‘a new Persian Gulf’ and ‘a hydrocarbons Eldorado’ — is a focal point of ongoing sovereignty disputes among its adjacent countries. Read more…